2024 Election POST MORTEM

https://x.com/RichardJG_/status/1853846107513598294
image

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stopiterect.meme!

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https://x.com/dougjballoon/status/1853777198458548428?s=46&t=qACSKE6IZtzYRktMah8p6A

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This might mean that 1 or 2 house districts flip too.

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https://x.com/trykindess/status/1853859776192499811

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Omg, the swing states are swing states?

Why didnt anyone tell me?

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Vibes are somehow fluctuating between cautiously optomistic to cautiously pessimistic to planning to od on elons tears.

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STOP THE COUNT!!!

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you can use RobinHood if you want

And if they win, just load me up with Elon’s Ketamine

This is kind of a dumb question I think because blue Iowa likely means game over without too much other work, but lets say blue Iowa doesnt mean instant blue win, how does the swing state calculus turn with a blue Iowa?

Edit: on my phone so cant do mapwork. Appreciate anyone who can

Come on women get out of the kitchen and vote!

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Yeah, blue IA is game over but if we were in some world where the results across states weren’t correlated it wouldn’t mean much on its own. Only 6 EVs so not enough to replace any of the blue wall/southern/southwest states. It could replace NV’s 6 EVs but again that wouldn’t really do anything on its own.

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It would mean we aren’t dependent on the Omaha district to avoid 269-269 in the event that the Great Lakes states go blue, but the Sun Belt doesn’t.

That said, I’m really struggling to see a world where Iowa goes blue without other stuff flipping too.

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Gotcha, I knew it wasnt much and is much more of a state being reactive than proactive but thats good to know, thanks.

Early NC results are going to be incredibly important.

Do we have any exit polling yet?

https://x.com/davidklion/status/1853848529011462446?s=46

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If you ban it, they will come

No, please god, no trying to extrapolate results based on exits.

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No exit polls until polls close.

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