2024 Election POST MORTEM

I think general demographic exit polls land around 5 or 6 eastern, but no candidate choices until close, yes.

https://x.com/elonmusk/status/1853847172309209357

https://x.com/realDonaldTrump/status/1853860800047227317

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20241105_135807

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how do you fuck up “stay IN line” twice?

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I have heard of a lot of guys not voting because they don’t like either choice for them. I would be surprised if men were turning up like women. lol Elon

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You can take Trump out of New York, but you can’t take the New York out of Trump

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Oh yeah Elon

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Those women numbers are basically all the same?

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This year the split is +6 when the highest it has been before that was +1. Combination of women being slightly more enthusiastic while enthusiasm drops for men.

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I see the whole “in line” vs. “on line” constantly and then I see the comments about how it’s a very New York thing to say the latter and then I have to think about which I say because I honestly have no idea. I think I use them interchangeably.

My wife is from New York and she says “on line.” I give her shit for it every time.

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Little old lady from the Dem party came to my house to verify that my wife was going to vote today. I’ve never had an in person visit on election day before, in NH. She said she did a 3 hour shift at the polls for our town, and turnout was very high.

Got misty eyed talking to her, considered asking her to adopt me. 3 hours of volunteering and now going door to door!

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Volunteering to save democracy is cool and all but have you guys considered buying your first pack of cigarettes in 4.1 years and doomscrolling?

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Dudes rock

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Lots of tweets about huge Philly turnout.

Anybody got a pre-afternoon betting market breakdown?

Same. Zero line.

No big swings so far.

Polymarket still at 62% Trump