On reflection, I think this is actually too pessimistic. The root problem here is that voters don’t trust Democrats, so they assess their reality for evidence that Dems are off fighting esoteric culture war battles and ignoring their problems. And they find some old Harris clips about sex change surgery for inmates and see $3 eggs, so it’s confirmed. If they had more confidence in Dems, they’d remember how big their raises were the last couple years and how worried they were that COVID was going to cause a worse economic crisis than in the 2000s.
Harris was a weak candidate and was dealt an awful hand, but I think she ran a really good and effective campaign.
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Just to be clear, I’m not advocating for pragmatic centrism. I’m just pointing out that the left would never be ok with a candidate who made that statement whereas the right, especially the Christian right, is perfectly ok with a candidate who says and does any number of things that doesn’t align with their narrow orthodoxy.
As evidence of this, her performance in a number of swing states (MI, WI, GA, NC) compared with 2020 was significantly better than adjacent non-swing states. This indicates that people exposed to the actual campaign directly were impacted somewhat. The dark corollary to this is that there must have been something ambient pulling against her. Whether it’s social media, $3 eggs, racism, sexism, or the fact that xenophobia is really alluring is up for debate.
On the other hand, her performance in PA, NV, AZ was lackluster. Still better than the national average, but lackluster. So this cuts against the theory that the campaign had a big impact.
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I feel like she started very well and then slowed down big time. Closing was pretty strong, but it was too late.
By far the biggest mistake she made was being complicit in not getting a coalition together to tell old man Biden that he was not running for a 2nd term.
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There’s a much more simple explanation for this. Swing states democrats were more motivated to stop trump, because they believe their vote counted. Non-swing state Democrats just didn’t give a fuck this election
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Her campaign wasn’t perfect, but she did run with a message of abortion rights which is strong on paper. The just people want Trump to round up immigrants and lower prices. Facebook and Twitch have turned Boomers and kids into reactionary fascists and you can’t out-campaign that.
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Ideally, someone will video it
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You’re entire way of thinking is based on a man who allowed himself to be tortured to death in service of others, and here you are, riding in on a wave of mutilation and pettiness, to celebrate your new god king.
You’re a pseudo-christian.
I guess I don’t see an obvious reason why 2024 was so different from 2020 in that regard.
This user won’t ever learn that personally attacking anyone who has a differing viewpoint will not win people over to his cause.
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Republicans have never cared but they won’t stfu about it. Vance was suggesting shutdowns in September.
I don’t even think it was immigrants. It was the economy, or rather people’s perception of it. When all is said and done, voters are simpletons. If they’re worried about prices, jobs, and money, they aren’t voting for an incumbent
Harris ran a great campaign. Her biggest mistake (in my opinion) was that she refused to sufficiently distance herself from the incumbent. Ironically, that woman from the View probably sunk her more than anyone when she asked if there was anything different she’d do from Biden and Harris basically answered no nothing comes to mind. I saw that ad ran over and over and over
Of course, Trump will be worse
Agree that overall the campaign was absolutely fine, and also agree that she and the campaign did seem ill-prepared to solidly answer some of the most obvious attack lines or questions. This is one. “Why didn’t you do it in the last 3.5 years?” was another one that while tricky, you can prep a decently punch answer. And her weakest moment of the debate was the “Are people better off now than they were 4 years ago?” question at the start, which I can’t for the life of me how you haven’t prepped a good answer for that. You have a tough needle to thread there, but it wasn’t a great look ignoring the question and doing her prepared opening.
But these are mostly nitpicks, I don’t think she was winning even with the best answers to these, because it doesn’t change the fact that folks have walked into stores the last couple of years blown away at what some things cost.
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Democrats were much more motivated in 2020 imo
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From what I’ve read, Harris and her campaign thought that distancing herself from Biden would minimize her accomplishments in the WH. What were those accomplishments? Couldnt tell you
Voters are nativist simpletons, Trump won on a campaign of fearmongering and immigrant hate.
When every single ad down the stretch was trans immigrants are coming to get you and your family, it was certainly not just the economy
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Current house posibilities seem to be D +1 - R +4