https://x.com/Taniel/status/1805801611618336938?t=5FPWhtnKkXg93HYi0jD6Tg&s=19
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Sure, heâs terrible, and he likely even has a massively negative VORP for whatâs possible from this district. Still,
- Heâs massively, massively better than any republican.
- Failing to win primaries is not just about conspiracies from powerful Democrats. Itâs also about failing to have convinced average Joe Democratic voters. Only the latter of those things you might have control over, and thatâs something to be worked on for next time.
Itâs not inherently wrong to primary incumbents in safe seats. Leftists would have more power if they successfully primaried more mainstream Democrats in safe seats. That they donât has more to do with their own electoral impotence than anything the establishment does to put their thumbs on the scale.
Bowman wasnât a perfect fit for his district and he was targeted because he was defeatable. He wasnât defeated just because he was targeted.
Is the guy who won the primary better than the republican heâs going to run against? Generally, blue no matter who isnât bullshit because the worst blue candidate is still miles ahead of the red candidate.
depends on what âbetterâ means
the only real definition is matters is âable to get more votesâ
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he was mostly vulnerable because the establishment dems made a choice to make his district less diverse than it was previously. the person who had a major say in that redistricting was Latimerâs campaign manager.
Not for nothing, but the Working Families party kept Crowley as their nominee in 2018 and he got like 10k votes. He didnât campaign (iirc neither did the Republican) but several Dems encouraged him to. Lots of news here about this at the time.
I canât believe I forgot this but Crowley also hilariously ran against her on the âWomenâs Equalityâ ticket! Really a genuinely awful example you cherrypicked there.