Oh, I have always accepted they exist. I just don’t understand why. The lack of understanding is compounded by the fact that I have never met an admitted gov/senate ticket splitter.
Obviously your explanation (like eyebooger’s very similar one) theoretically makes sense, I’ve never actually spoken with someone who actually has reasoned out a voting decision like that.
I have met a handful of people who went straight R minus Trump. But Florida man is kind of a unicorn like that.
The people I’ve discussed the topic with the most tend to be relatively “socially liberal” upper middle class professionals in blue states who will occassionally vote for the seemingly sane “pro-business” Hogan or Romney types because they think those guys will reign in the tax and spending impulses of a D legislature.
Another factor is that the more local the government is, the more voters tend to value actual functional government over broad rhetoric. This tends to move the conservative politicians closer to the center than you see on the national stage, where the actual purpose of the Federal government is more abstract and people are more prone to misunderstand the connection between Federal government services and their personal quality of life. People generally want a city councilor who will make sure their garbage gets picked up on time, more than they want a city councilor who really hates immigrants.
Although this has started to break down as the culture war is permeating all aspects of American life. Now local politics meetings that used to be super bland are starting to involved lunatics that want to ban books in schools and fire liberal teachers and stuff like that.
I wonder how much if any of that enthusiasm is just based on the idea that the confirmation may not happen before the midterms, and keeping the Senate might be important. That could all evaporate once she’s seated.
Still, White House aides acknowledge the pressure to revamp their strategy. They have been frustrated by how little credit they have received for enacting major legislation such as the Covid relief bill or bipartisan infrastructure legislation.