It helped that the GOP nominated terrible candidates. I know conservatives who were ok with Oz but wouldn’t vote for Mastriano, and who thought Mastriano was great but Oz was a phony and didn’t vote for him.
Shapiro and Fetterman were very good candidates, too.
That’s hard because Fetterman had a stroke and it’s hard to objectively state how that impacted his candidacy. Fetterman before the stroke was probably a better candidate than Shapiro.
IMO it went Healthy Fetterman > Shapiro >>> Fetterman After His Stroke >>>>>>>> Oz >>>>>>>>>>>>>>>>>>>>>>>>>>>>>>>>>>>>>>>>>>>>>>>>>>>>>>>>>>>>>>>>>>>>>>>>>>>>>>>>>>>>>>>>>>>>>>>>>>>>>>>>>>>>>>>>>>>>>>>>>>>>>>>>>>>>>>>>>>>> Mastriano
Maybe I should have stated my question as who wins by a bigger margin against Oz, Shapiro or a fully healthy Fetterman? And why?
If you had to pick one as a future presidential candidate based solely on electability and ignoring policy differences or ability to govern or the need to retain their current posts, while assuming a full recovery for Fetterman, who do you pick?
I think their politics are very similar. Shapiro has the wonky nerdy Everyman thing going for him, Fetterman has the working class Everyman thing going for him, but healthy Fetterman is more charismatic. Close call imo, but probably healthy Fetterman.
Right, if Fetterman ran for Gov and Shapiro for Senate, what would the margins have looked like? Mastriano probably goes harder at Fetterman for the stroke. I think Oz both pulled his punches here a bit because he has some shred of humanity buried under the huckster that Mastriano doesn’t have, and Oz attacking someone for a medical condition is always going to land differently because he’s a doctor.
So in this sense, Shapiro probably is better but only due to a black swan event.
I’ve got the count at 4 votes that they’re keeping from Ronnie. 8 if you assume their spouses are also voting for them which for some of them seems far from a lock.