BIG JOHN!
PROGRESSIVES 
CAN DO BETTER THAN MODERATES IN SWING STATES
https://twitter.com/washingtonpost/status/1590509561059893248
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I’m tempted to bet D House D Senate at 6c. I think we’re more like 10% than 6%. With the vig, the edge gets small though, and I haven’t run the actual math on any of the House races. Just kind of going by instincts on ballparking where I think it’s at.
Kari Lake is completely fucking insane. How the fuck is she going to win.
Hobbs refused to debate her, right?
Yeah and I think that was the right move honestly. Lake is a nonstop firehose of absolute nonsense, she’d just have given her another stage.
Betting markets still favoring DEM in NV
I think next week is more likely. Friday is probably the absolute best case though, yes.
Maricopa 62,000 new ballots counted
Kelly 53, Masters 46.4 (I think that is in the county)
7000 net vote gain
Hobbs gains as well, 13000 votes ahead of Lake
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NV Senate could come down to like 500 votes lol, but slightly bullish proportion for D out of last Clark dump.
This is in the wrong thread
Bring this over from Hopiumutopialand
https://twitter.com/mmpadellan/status/1590524126371844096?s=46&t=aOT5zBcNH6ATfrMDypsf3Q
If I could get paid to shitpost here I’d rather do this than teletherapy.
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FWIW the no vig line for the GA runoff is Warnock -240
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Yes but the portion that was counted was her better portion.