2022 Midterm Elections (Abandon hope all ye who enter here) butnahhh. or maybe?

OK my current plan is to wait and see, I think the odds on PI might move in my favor after the first votes get reported, and I’ll have better info then. I’d be betting this market probably:

What are the other two you were referring to? Senate control?

Voter intimidation outside of Pittsburgh:

https://twitter.com/CPotterPgh/status/1590046938569019392?t=AKHVW4Cfa3FXT0lUHyTMHQ&s=19

https://twitter.com/CPotterPgh/status/1590078867745943552?t=Md9axZ5mfrVpMxKwju1FkA&s=19

I was talking about the same thing as you, just with difference between the prices of buying yes or no and differences between which side of the bet you take on PI since the sides don’t add up to 100.

If you really think this you should be hammering Fetterman at high +odds.

I have been considering it, but I think I can get a better price between 8pm and 10pm.

Buying either side on yes on that screenshot is stupid, right?

Why buy Fetterman yes at 0.39 if you can get Oz no at 0.34?

Correct but if you want to get $1,700 down you have to buy both.

https://twitter.com/SpecialPuppy1/status/1590017515086057472

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Holy shit. Dane County WI projecting a FLOOR of 85% turnout.

https://twitter.com/aligarfield_/status/1590059543685660672?t=mwH2-b2PWjhMYzbX__D0lw&s=19

https://twitter.com/AJBayatpour/status/1590055365252907009?t=ia-qFRGzx6QCLCZclBzO4A&s=19

Evers won 49.5% to 48.4% in 2018.

My prediction is that young people will turn out to vote for the first time in my life but they’ll all vote MAGA because they’ve been radiaclized by rightwing twitch streamers.

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https://twitter.com/RalstonReports/status/1590089144138551296

Nevada continues to slip away. Lots of pressure on Fetterman and Warnock to pull it out to keep the Senate if this keeps up.

One thing that’s important to note is that mail in ballots in Nevada don’t have to be received by today. There will be more Dem votes trickling in. It’ll be very close.

To be fair most of the big twitch streamers don’t lean right, and some are very left.

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Philly vote pace is slipping. Going to need the pace to pick up significantly after work, but that’s a reasonable hope.

@Danspartan GO SPARTY!

https://twitter.com/Victorshi2020/status/1590070963739426818?t=io-vhz8hB9oqd4hf0CUduQ&s=19

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I just turned in my mail in ballot at the Boulevard mall drop box. Wasnt going to wait in any lines. I voted straight D and yes on the initiatives other than 3.

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When the hopium dealers are rolling with “youngs will show up” you know it’s curtains.

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Dane County turnout floor of 85% is pretty good. Philly tracking towards 2018 turnout is pretty good.

Note to Jose: I don’t think “influence” is what she’s threatening.

https://twitter.com/Jose_Pagliery/status/1590070628828475392?s=20&t=AsxvmLwQaRp6m_rqZ23O1A

Since the President did.