They release polls that have the Dems in contention in states like South Carolina and Texas to get us to donate there, then they release polls that OMG they might lose the races they’re supposed to win to get us to donate to those.
This is how Jaime Harrison raised over $100M to lose to Lindsey Graham by 10.2%, topping fundraising records set by Beto O’Rourke when he lost to Ted Cruz by 215,000 votes. At least that one was within 3% and wasn’t completely hopeless.
I misread and was thinking this was in South Carolina, so I guess we’re not drawing dead, but still, I wouldn’t put much stock in this poll.
We’re probably losing by like 3% right now would be my guess. It’s probably like 49-46, and we’re not going to win by convincing the remaining 5%, we’re going to need to turn out our side and depress their turnout.
well it’s been a good summer for dems so they have gained from the spring polling but summer polls always overstate them, dem voters are the only ones answering random numbers instead of going out and having fun
Some pollsters are a bit ridiculous in one direction or the other that I just ignore.
Their odds of keeping the senate have definitely increased at any rate.
Our Lieutenant Governor, who has been getting pushed hard by the E-Dem machinery in Vermont, just got slaughtered in the primary for the open house seat. I am happy.
(Not that she was overtly bad, but the other candidate was far superior)
Don Samuels yard signs were everywhere this summer. I don’t know anything about him except he is very old and that is a big no for me. Get these old fucks out of politics.
It’s kind of funny that Rasmussen is getting higher approvals for Biden despite skewing conservative. They’re also skewing old and young people can’t stand him.
My sense from political science twitter is that some political scientists seem to think that polarization has caused the congressional vote to become more disconnected from presidential approval, so Dems still have a chance of retaining both houses even if Biden’s approval is low.
The path seems clear to me that, with a lack of accomplishments to run on, Dems need to push Dobbs and January 6 as evidence that Republicans are an existential threat to America and democracy that everyone needs to vote against. This is, of course, an accurate assessment of what is really going on in this country, but it is uncertain if it will move enough people to the polls.
