The sacbee says Democrats are still outpacing expectations, committing about 58% of returned ballots so far. Good news, but older white residents are far outpacing younger and more diverse voters.
Yeah, only 10% of 18-34 year olds have returned ballots
That is less good
How panicked are California Democratic Party members right now?
How many normally vote? 20%?
about 27% of that age group voted in 2018. about 50% in 2020.
Are young people in California disproportionately anti-mask and more likely to vote if they see the recall as a referendum on mask/vaccine mandates?
I honestly can’t answer that question because I have no data other than anecdotes. I live in a very conservative district, so what I see is definitely skewed, but even then, the young people who are voting age seem much less pressed about mask mandates than their parents or parents of younger kids.
My theory is that the next few elections are going to function as referendums on mask and vaccine mandates. We’re definitely going to see that play out in any school board elections this fall. Understanding the shape of public opinion on this issue is key to planning campaign strategies over the next year.
Someone should be polling California about this.
In ca I’d say still masking is like 80%
How much of California outside the major cities have you observed?
I live in a super republican district. We had two republicans run for the house seat because a democrat came in 3rd lol
lucky. In my town it’s about 20% masked.
taking a wider view, can anyone think of a single county in the US that not only has one of the top ten largest cities in the US and a large unincorporated area? In 2010, San Diego County had a total population of 3.1M, and of that 3.1M, 1.3M is in the city of San Diego, with ~500k living in the unincorporated areas, and the rest in the suburbs.
If there’s any county where we should be working on solutions to the urban/rural divide in politics, it’s this one. We could be a model for the rest of the country. Instead, our County Democratic Party is very busy passing 5 resolutions a month regarding culture war issues, completely ignoring any major rural issue, and providing zero support to races in the rural areas.
The majority of the land in Los Angeles County is unincorporated. Granted, much of that is forest, but a million people live in unincorporated LA County. I’m pretty sure the residents of unincorporated East Los Angeles are not the people you are thinking of, though.
If San Diego County can be a model for solutions in bridging the urban/rural divide, have San Diego Republicans figured out how to do so in a way that can be used by Republicans in the rest of the country?
This new poll showing No ahead 58-39 should make Newsom sleep a little easier. Not done and dusted but looking more comfortable 12 days out. Though I find the R crosstab a bit dubious, 82-17 seems low.
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This guy is seeming pretty confident.
If there are any true fiscal conservatives in that R number, it could be right. Its pretty clear that Californias economics have soared under Newsom.
And who is leading the shit end of the stick? White men you say? I dont believe you.gif
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