Local reporters are getting their invitations to swanky DC parties yanked if they rock the boat.
Obviously one shouldnât vote for someone just on âlikability,â but I like Warnock:
https://twitter.com/ReverendWarnock/status/1317966941764669443
According to polls and news chatter, it sounds like late action breaking for Warnock in GA
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https://www.washingtonpost.com/politics/2020/10/18/democrats-stunning-fundraising/
The Democratsâ dominance in third-quarter fundraising is virtually unprecedented. It was led by South Carolinaâs Jaime Harrison ($57 million), Maineâs Sara Gideon ($39.4 million) and Arizonaâs Mark Kelly ($38.7 million), all of whom eclipsed OâRourkeâs record from just two years prior.
But even setting aside those record hauls, every Democratic Senate candidate running in the 15 races considered competitive outraised his or her Republican opponent. Combined, they raised more than $370 million, compared with about $150 million for the GOP candidates: an average of $25 million for the Democratic candidates and $10 million for the Republicans.
The Democratsâ advantage was even wider than former vice president Joe Bidenâs edge over President Trump in just-released numbers for September, when Biden pulled in $383 million to Trumpâs $248 million.
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I am surprised at the 538 forecast for GA-7 (Bourdeaux-D v McCormick-R).
I assumed Bourdeaux would be a clear favorite.
- GA-7 was the closest House race in the nation in 2018 (Bourdeaux lost by 319 votes)
- The incumbent retired
- This race is in the Gwinnett metro area of Atlanta which probably has the most quickly changing demographics and growth
- The only polling in the race had Bourdeaux +3
May be factoring in GA riggage. Probably the most likely state for Rs to cheat seeing as they got away with it last time.
dammit, I wish theyâd share. My 5-person field team trying to cover the largest district in SD county would really appreciate some crumbsâŚ
I think they share but I donât think they do a good job optimizing the spend. Most of it should be going to the Senate but your House race should be a top priority on that side.
What the hell are they spending all this money on?
I realize itâs an important race, but FFS Maine only has 1.3 million people.
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Consultants.
It isâŚnot. LOL
They SAY it is, but they ainât coming through.
SDUT is doing a poll thatâs supposed to come out the 28th, maybe weâll get some GOTV money if itâs decent.
markets/other modelers agree with you but theyâre only 60/40.
I have a little bit in at a higher price sigh.
Coequal branch of government, folks.
Imagine being proud of how obedient you are. These people are actually dogs.
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https://twitter.com/FPWellman/status/1318307148737048577
Cliffs:
The LOLffler/Collins numbers have really bounced around the last polls Iâve seem. Will be interesting to see which makes it. Still feels like LOLffler is a much better matchup. Doesnât excite the MAGA crowd as much but at the same time has likely done a ton to turn off normal people with her blatant corruption and race to outflank Collins on the right.