2020 Senate + House Races

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Iā€™m telling you theyā€™ve been knocking the hell out of Tubs for a while now. Heā€™s vulnerable! Iā€™m not sure itā€™ll be enough but heā€™s been hit and hit hard. Tubs is a legit awful candidate who brings nothing to the table at all except rah rah Trump jingoism. I assume they havenā€™t debated because Jones would absolutely shred him.

Guilfoyle would be the first Senator to charge 500 an hour

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They havenā€™t debated, tubberville wonā€™t agree to it, same way our gov refused to, they can win without it

Tubby is absolutely historically terrible, even by lol Alabama GOP standards, but heā€™s a pretty big step up from Roy Moore.

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can newsom appoint feinstein to hold both seats at the same time?

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This is exactly correct

Arnold Schwarzenegger to finish out the term.

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https://twitter.com/JacobRubashkin/status/1317541031504711685?s=20

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Georgia 49% seems way high.

Also it seems the low probability seats are correlated, like either 3-4 of the 20-30% seats flip or none do.

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This is good. No idea if this woman is competitive.

Edit: after some research she ran against the same guy (typical rich guy car dealer asshole) in 2018 and lost by 9, so its gonna be tough.

https://twitter.com/julieolivertx/status/1317482392362340352?s=21

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Interested in house assumptions, like how Van Drew is 54% to win when the polling looks like:

538 model gives a lot of points for incumbents it shouldnā€™t. Especially one, that just switched so nobody actually likes the guy on either side.

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The sweet summer child in me hopes that she wouldnā€™t last long in a Biden presidency as she will be blatantly corrupt and incompetent and wonā€™t have Donā€™s protection.

Weā€™re going to such a dark place. What was that poll? 24% of Americans believe qAnon is mostly or somewhat true?

https://twitter.com/daveweigel/status/1317867407575310336?s=20

https://twitter.com/kylegriffin1/status/1317880624770805763?s=20

https://twitter.com/seungminkim/status/1317864535265628160?s=20

This should be run nonstop in ads from now until election day.

https://twitter.com/JohnJHarwood/status/1317874328327901190?s=19

It is pretty revealing that local yokel reporters consistently outperform the WH press corps.

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me, running for congress as a soulless corporate stooge: i will replace it with BETTER HEALTHCARE. itā€™s that simple! democrats want to take away your healthcare, they want to eliminate preexisting conditions for everyone. seniors are going to be homeless under the democrat plan. iā€™m running for senate to fix that.

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