3 Likes
PPP has the Montana Senate race at 48-48.
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Couldnât make it past the first clip, Campa-Najjar is saying the right things, but the dynamics of the interviewer smoking the cigar and not paying attention makes it cringeworthy.
https://www.kpbs.org/news/2020/oct/11/local-democrats-candidate-campa-najjars-interview/
Yeah, he made a mistake. One of Ammarâs faults is that he tries to see the good in everyone, even when it isnât there. And he also finds it difficult to ignore the people who call him a terrorist, which this group was doing. And yes, he already voted for Biden (which is what a lot of people in my area are worried about, more than the fact he went on there).
https://twitter.com/ACampaNajjar/status/1315498116443852800?s=20
That sounds like an outlier with that many undecided⌠remember a 4.5% MoE could mean this is actually a 10% lead.
every other commercial during wheel/jeopardy includes a clip of peters on fox news in february saying the US is not at risk right now of the virus. basically blaming him for the governmentâs response and ignoring trump completely
the peters+1 today is an A+ poll from nyt upshot
Whatâs upshot?
Not much, whatâs upsâŚshit wrong joke.
3 Likes
Itâs only a single data point, remember that. I didnât look at margin of error but even if itâs only 3 that means the range is Peters +7 to James+5. This is why we look at polling averages.
We have seen no polls indicating James has a lead. Stop with the freak out.
Edit: 538 added this poll into the forecast and it only changed the race to 79/21. This isnât the disaster you think it is.
I still hate any poll where the amount that are undecided is ~2x the MOE.
3 Likes
gary peters was in the military for a lot longer than john james but half of jamesâ ads are him in fatigues scaling walls and his main logo has a blackhawk helicopter in it
Peters +1,3,6,2 are four of the last 5 on 538. I believe Michigan has the option to vote democrat instead of each race so I think heâs fine but thereâs a reason that race is only lean D.
Rs recently failed to scrap it but yeah we still have straight-ticket voting for now
My reasoning skills have led me to conclude that we need to run more candidates with sexting scandals
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I could see her voting against. The Republicans have 3 hall passes they can give out.
1 Like