2020 Senate + House Races

That’s a total own goal by the GOP. She is just awful in every way.

I see what you did there.

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She’s polling 4th in the primary!

They are going to be so fucking far behind in the polls that there will be no feasible rigging strategy and they’ll just cancel everything.

The Preet podcasts are going to be next level come October.

The bench in AZ is worse. Ward was probably next up, and she’d lose by 15 points to Kelly.

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Or they’ll rig it and fall back on the still undefeated “LOL FUCK YOU!”

She’s going against Merkley so she should lose but this shits still nuts

https://twitter.com/willsommer/status/1263257062122950656?s=21

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‘It’s 24 people:’ Meet the SC donors defecting from Lindsey Graham to Jaime Harrison

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Well, many people may not vote Trump/(D) Senate because they hate Lynzee, but they may just abstain from the senate race.

https://twitter.com/politics_polls/status/1265664092326580225?s=21

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After the 3rd double digit lead for Kelly in AZ was released this month I asked my friend that does the Senate analysis for Cook political why that wasn’t Lean D. She told me with incumbents they generally wait until Labor Day but she expects both CO and AZ will move to Lean D after that barring some major change.

Looking like a worst case for Dems would be to pick up 1 net seat. Best case could give them the Senate.

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The interesting thing here is that Donald Trump wins in this poll 52-42. Indicating everyone planning on voting for Biden goes Harrison and vice versa, but many Trump supporters currently don’t support Graham.

I know there has been some movement to primary Graham. Most people don’t trust him to suddenly be on the Trump train and they know he is lying. The question becomes whether they all vote third-party in the Senate race. I’d take these polls with a grain of salt until after the June primary

They will if his name is on the ballot.

Yep. That was the point I was making. I’d expect a large single digit lead to open up next month and stick around. Jaime Harrison is a great candidate but nothing we are seeing now has convinced me he can do anything but make it closer than it usually is

https://twitter.com/TheRickWilson/status/1265970937268187137?s=20

Sometimes it seems democrats need to recruit republicans to do their dirty work while the dems are out trying to find the next ex-military person to run for office.

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Deeply troubling.

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not a senate race, but this guy is so good. His race is an uphill battle, but he’s definitely making inroads in a conservative district.

https://twitter.com/QasimRashid/status/1266127365995991051?s=20

I think I would have went with Laettner over McGrath.

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