Y’all are giving up too early on Jaime Harrison.
https://twitter.com/lachlanmcintosh/status/1320840966530621452?s=21
https://twitter.com/lachlanmcintosh/status/1320840967453396993?s=21
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GOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOGOGOGOGOGOGOGO
This isn’t as great as you would think. Deadline to request a ballot was Saturday meaning all requests are in. If 100% of early votes are returned it would still be slightly under 50% of 2016 turnout, which means it’s likely that most voting will occur on Election Day.
Greenville County isn’t as deep red as he makes it sound. Yeah, it went for Trump by 25 points in 2016, but I have a feeling it could surprise and Jaime could cut that margin in half or better. The early vote totals aren’t a great start to that, however.
Greenville County was just over 10% of the total votes cast in 2016.
Edit: Jess just pointed out that in 2018 James Smith lost 54/46, and hit 58/42 in Greenville. She says with a 4% third party vote statewide (optimistic as the third party candidate dropped out, although is still on the ballot) Harrison would need 44-45 in Greenville to win.
I’ve seen a lot of excitement here but 45% seems… optimistic. And the early voting numbers seem to back up that assessment. I would have hoped for 100k from Greenville tbh.
This isn’t a meaningful poll
Totally anecdotal but I am getting absolutely bombarded by ads for my local state representative race. Obviously no polling to check but Tennessee is gerrymandered as fuck for US representative, I would assume it is also for state representatives and I’ve never gotten any ads before this year. the incumbent R has been pretty comfortable for a while (in the seat since 2010) but I’m getting snail mail, Facebook, and Instagram ads constantly from both candidates. He’s definitely sweating.
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Semi-serious question for Bama fans. Hypothetically, if Saban had retired last year and ran this year as a Dem for Senate, does he lose to Tuberville? Does he lose to anyone?
i think he loses to most people, probably still loses to tuberville.
Well I guess Alabama is more red and less crimson than I thought.
Next you are gonna tell me that the reanimated corpse of Bear Bryant would also lose as a Dem.
Yea I just don’t think people are going to vote for the commie dem candidate regardless of how many titles he won
Run him as an independent in the Bama God Family Country Crimson Party.
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Where in TN?
A couple of the national PACs (Warren, Pete, Bernie, etc) have endorsed some state assembly cadidates in TN, so they might have an influx of cash.
unless he runs against Roy Moore, yes.
outside of Memphis
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Don’t get my hopes up. Not only would we put a Democrat in the Senate (and while not the most liberal, he seems like a solid dude), we’d be getting rid of one of the biggest Trump sycophants in D.C.
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4D chess
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That’s a great ad, lol. Pure fucking deplorable bait.
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