Ukraine, Russia, and the West

Ezra Klein with Masha Gessen. Good discussion about Putin and Russian society.

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https://twitter.com/IAPonomarenko/status/1502403764787032070

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Found Putin’s reddit account

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On Wednesday, he (tRUmp) appeared on the NELK boys “Full Send Podcast” where he spoke at length about the Iran nuclear deal and the U.S. strategic oil reserve. The episode was live on YouTube for only a few hours before it was removed for violating the platform’s policy on misinformation.

lol

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Given the mersheimerschmidt ideology, how do we view Finland. Finland who has been neutral forever but now want to run head first into NATO because Russia scares them.

Should they be left on their own even though they want nothing Russia has to offer?

“Sorry neighbor, can’t help you with that armed invasion of your house. You left your Benz in the driveway. I am sure you will be fine with your new houseguests.”

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Saw one tiktok where an influencer was trying to compare all the activities to the gay pick up scene. Not sure if they were briefed.

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The calculus is a bit different with Finland. Finland is quite awful for Russia terrain wise to push into.

Russia would need to spend a few weeks amassing troops and tanks at St Petersburg. It would give the west enough time to arm them with anti-tank / artillery / anti aircraft.

I would employ the Ukraine strategy where we arm the shit out of them and let Putin get bogged down / bankrupted pushing into Finland.

Like 80 new posts and 70 of them are Keeed related. Let me join again with those requesting that the @moderators split this thread. One for news, updates, and discussions of the war itself and one for Keeed to share his “expertise” in geopolitical strategy.

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Done. Please find the Geopolitical Strategy thread.

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2 posts were merged into an existing topic: Geopolitical Strategy

https://twitter.com/Serhii6_6/status/1502389187055603720?s=20&t=KV-XcRpD1LgFA7JFSUX83g

The best reply I found

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Would everyone please move the realism discussion here: Geopolitical Strategery - #47 by suzzer99.

I think most people reading this thread would greatly appreciate it.

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Thread

I don’t know about all these Intel reports talking about what’s going on in the Russian government. I’m not sure why Estonia would have the inside track, but fingers crossed.

https://twitter.com/holger_r/status/1502269876999757831

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Big fan of moving Keed and any discussion of that John Shoeshiner guy nobody gives a fuck about to a different thread if a different galaxy entirely is not possible.

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https://twitter.com/AlexKokcharov/status/1502441185805221890

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It’s been moved. Global politics.

https://twitter.com/holger_r/status/1502269891189092358

On the one hand, yeah this whole thread feels really optimistic. But on the other hand the optimists have been mostly right so far, while the pessimists have been mostly wrong.

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It’s hardly unprecedented to overhype your capabilities and get high on your own supply about how easy the war is going to be.

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Yea. The guys a journalist so I didn’t dismiss the “I’ve heard from an analyst” out of hand but that tweet is the piece of information that made me doubt it the most. The rest of the thread seems possible based on what everyone knows, but even that stuff it’s possible to be wrong.