Ukraine Invasion 2: We're the baddies now

Broe is great, but he makes heavy pro-Ukrainian spins on everything, and seeks out posts (like this one) which reinforce heavily pro-Ukrainian spins. I understand why he does this, but don’t really agree with it. (I donate regularly to his initiatives, really like the guy, and watch his content regularly, I just don’t agree with his approach on bad news.)

Perpetua is a character. He spends probably 18 hours a day watching war footage and archiving it. He has an absurd amount of knowledge regarding battle tactics. This causes him to miss the forest for the trees in some of his takes, which are usually tweeted at the end of an 18 hour binge session of war footage and a massive amount of coffee.



There not being a well defined front line is completely irrelevant to the fact that Russia has breached positions. Russia hasn’t been able to capitalize on it yet, and is still not sending any mechanized attacks to capitalize on it, but it’s still a major problem whether you want to call it a minor breakthrough, penetration, or breach.

Ukraine does not have the personel to go “into dugouts and other positions to destroy the rifle teams where they are hiding.” It is why Russia’s strategy is effective: they can send these small units forward, not caring that the success rate is so low, because when they do work Ukraine’s manpower situation is in such a bad position that they can’t respond.



Right now several groups, including Azov, have been moved here to counter attack (which is already a bad sign), but I think little else is known at the moment. Hopefully they are able to destroy these Russian positions, but it’s not guaranteed and it’s a bad position to be in.

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Just sounds like ukraine is eventually going to lose via grinding down to a bigger foe. (though this may stop at some point as ukraine’s supply lines shorten vs russia’s extending) We’ll see what happens with the potus meeting on all that (I’m not optimistic).

if just giving him the stupid medal makes peace there that’ll be fine with most of us.

Nah, I want this to blow up in his face and be an even bigger war.

Still a high school edgelord eh?

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I think Trump painted himself as the antiwar candidate and people are so dumb that there needs to be a lot more war to make it hard for them to believe they were right.

I’ve got bad news for you. It doesn’t matter how unbelievable it is, they will still believe it. That’s how cults work.

I don’t expect to move MAGA. I hope to move non-MAGA who voted for Trump.

The non-maga who voted for Trump are what you call Republicans. They love war.

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Some percentage of antiwar voters went for Trump. Even if you’re only pulling off a few percent, that’s fine.

Some very specific antiwar people voted for Trump…pretty much just protesting Biden supplying weapons to Israel. I hope they already realize Trump was not a good vote.

It’s not going to matter when Ice is detaining every Democrat looking voter in every major swing state city on election day.

Yeah all of this Trump’s declining popularity stuff is so LOL to me. At best we’re going to have lockdowns (due to like a 5 person protest) and like 2 polling places in all of greater Atlanta with 10 mile lines, while the rest of Georgia can vote by texting Trump to *01 on their cellphone or something. More likely we’ll just have rigged voting machines that show Trump won 80% of the vote when exit polls show he won 30%. Supreme court will throw up their hands and say constitution says we have to affirm the process, and this also takes supremacy over the 22nd amendment as well since term limits and lame ducks status impair his ability to be commander in chief

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https://x.com/BarakRavid/status/1956619229177729275

Since the meeting ended early, no questions were taken, lunch was skipped, and Russian media is waiting to receive their marching orders on how to present this, I’m guessing nothing came of it. There was clearly a predictable amount of Trump glazing, and repeating things he’s said back to him to reinforce his views. Although it’s likely that Trump doing nothing is a win for Ukraine at this point. Hopefully these continued “two more weeks” will eventually stop the surge in Russian recruiting as people realize they aren’t getting their “easy money” by volunteering right before a peace deal and avoiding the meat grinder.




What does “lose” mean? Russia’s goals at the start were take over all of Ukraine and install a puppet regime. Their second goals were to force Ukraine into a peace deal so favorable to Russia that they could invade again in a few years with a huge advantage and try to achieve their first goals again. Now their third goalpost shift is to make Ukraine a failed state.

I don’t think the first set of goals happens. It’s possible that they can force a peace deal so bad that they can kick this can down the road and invade again in 5-10 years with a big advantage. This could also make Ukraine a failed state if no one is willing to invest in the country because a future invasion is inevitable.

If by “bigger war” you mean Trump sends much needed weapons to Ukraine then I guess I agree, since it should be clear to everyone that Putin never intended to stop unless it was on terms so favorable to Russia that he could invade again with a major advantage.

With the way you phrased it, it sounds like you’re hoping for more Ukrainian deaths in order to make Trump look foolish despite him being incapable of feeling foolish. Can’t really agree with that.

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:crossed_swords: The Defense Forces of Ukraine have pushed back the enemy near Rubizhne , Zolote Kolodyaz , Vesele , Vilne , Shakhove , Nikanorivka , and Sukhetske.

After several difficult days of work, the Defense Forces have been able to stabilize the situation to some extent along the section of settlements Vesele–Zolotyi Kolodiaz–Kucheriv Yar, about which we recently made a post. This can already be seen on our updated map, as well as in the statement by the 1st Corps of the National Guard of Ukraine “Azov.”

Over the past three days, in the defensive sector in the Pokrovsk direction, the forces and means of the 1st Corps of the National Guard “Azov,” together with adjacent and subordinate units, have stopped the enemy’s advance. As a result of search-and-strike actions, the following settlements were cleared: Hruzke, Rubizhne, Novovodiane, Petrivka, Vesele, Zolotyi Kolodiaz.

:yellow_circle: Immediately after the public discussion, full attention was directed to clarifying the situation in this sector, which had recently been taken over by the 1st Corps. At the same time, additional resources from the Air Assault Forces (79th and 82nd Brigades) were deployed to stabilize the situation, along with other units (1st and 425th Separate Rifle Battalions, 25th Separate Rifle Battalion, 2nd Battalion of the 92nd Separate Mechanized Brigade, 32nd Mechanized Brigade, 93rd Mechanized Brigade, 38th Marine Brigade, and 14th Special Operations Brigade). Our fighters began working to clear and block the occupiers in the areas they had seized.

:russia: The enemy found a weak spot in the defense, which they immediately exploited, bringing in infantry. Fortunately, the enemy continued their chaotic push deeper into the territory, even bypassing certain forward positions and strongpoints of the newly formed Integrated Defense System, and failed to properly entrench themselves or bring in their main forces, including drone crews. At that time, enemy movements were carried out without active support from aerial reconnaissance, artillery, or other assets. During this entire period, Defense Forces fighters tried to counter the enemy, but due to the destabilization of the situation and lack of full understanding of the overall picture, this was difficult to do.

It is worth noting separately the achievements of the Ukrainian Defense Forces mentioned in the 1st Corps’ statement:
• Irrecoverable enemy losses — 271
• Wounded — 101
• Captured — 13

This is not about 5–10 mythical intruders trying to sneak deeper into our territory, but a serious problem that was detected and addressed more or less in time, showing the occupiers what a coordinated and strong Ukrainian army looks like.

:saluting_face: We would like to see more such reactions to situations, and as few reasons for such situations as possible. We very much hope that those who distorted the situation and treated it negligently will be held accountable, and that an after-action review will take its rightful place, yielding positive results in the future.

:crossed_swords: Unfortunately, it’s too early to speak of complete success. The situation remains quite difficult, as the occupiers are already deploying additional forces to this area. In particular, enemy crews have again taken up logistics work in the rear, which confirms the failure of their earlier actions. The Ukrainian Defense Forces continue clearing and blocking enemy forces, making great efforts to reduce the enemy’s attempts to zero. Work continues. We keep our finger on the pulse and respond to any changes.

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By “bigger war”, I mean “expands beyond the current scale”.

German prosecutors say a Ukrainian man has been arrested in Italy on suspicion of blowing up the Nord Stream gas pipelines under the Baltic Sea, several months after the start of Russia’s full-scale invasion of Ukraine in 2022.

The man, identified only as Serhii K, was arrested in the province of Rimini and was part of a group who planted explosives under the Nord Stream 1 and Nord Stream 2 pipelines from Russia to Germany, federal prosecutors say.

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OK, looks like World War III is now in the cards! 2025 sure has been a tumultuous decade so far.

https://x.com/shashj/status/1965749184277233741?s=46&t=9xanL2tZoKj22erGoTuL4A

Nah

russia is barely advancing in ukraine and some people think they’re going to expand to poland? china would have to join them to get any ww3 traction and I don’t see that, we forget usa is still #1 by far at blowing shit up. we may not win wars but we can still blow you up to smitheerens.

Russia can annoy the crap out poland in the meantime though with drones or whatever so dunno how far on that front they’ll go.

I think Poland would defeat Russia 1:1 now, and Poland is part of NATO. This is just trolling.