https://twitter.com/anders_aslund/status/1512149017869885442
https://twitter.com/KevinRothrock/status/1512167394881511430
Union of Z Paratroopers huh? Nothing too ominous about that. Just an innocent gathering of like minded individuals.
From twitter feed its an old picture.
His friends might not appreciate him bringing a posse to their hideout. (If video isn’t displaying it’s a guy running and being followed by a drone.)
https://twitter.com/NotWoofers/status/1512131457547915285?s=20&t=EwFMRgr8YgtkQ3TvvHKqzA
https://twitter.com/KevinRothrock/status/1512160330750861320
the comments are full of what i think - that’s not weed
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https://twitter.com/SamRamani2/status/1512182098039353346
https://twitter.com/SamRamani2/status/1512182838979969031
Reminds of the weed that Michael Scott buys in the office.
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one of the comments specifically says that lol
He got busted for being a pedophile in 2001, before contradicting the Bush administration on Iraq’s WMDs.
man i get you want to be an edgelord but defending a guy who got busted twice for trying to meet or jerk off to underage girls online has to be too much right? Who knows how many other times he didn’t get caught or whatever other shit he was up to.
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AMERICA BAD!
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Good thread from probably the only analyst that got it right since Feb 24.
He says no they will fail.
He also predicted Russia would fail on Feb 25 if you go back to his twitter threads.
I think anyone selling you certainties should not be trusted. With the Russians focusing on the Donbas, they could reasonably try to entrench there, force a stalemate, and then angle for a peace agreement that involves recognizing that and and Crimea as Russian. That seems less likely now that Russian atrocities have come to light, but it is still possible. We could also see Russia launch a new offensive from there, trying to capture more territory. That might be more successful than their earlier efforts, or it could overextend them once again. We might also see a very aggressive Ukraine try to push into this area, emboldened by their recent victories. This may or may not go well for them, and if it doesn’t, it could be catastrophic. The real wild card might be if Ukraine tries to retake Crimea, with or without retaking some or all of the Donbas. Maybe they blast the bridge to Russia proper and try to take it back if it turns out to be softer territory than the Donbas? Or maybe going for it is pure hubris.
It’s a more complicated situation than when people were selling you the idea that Russia would just roll, but it is simplified from a week ago, because the fronts have reduced.
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The most intense fighting is south of Izium and the front just east of that. Russia keeps trying to push further south and west in an effort to surround the troops at the Donbas front line, which seems to have barely moved throughout the war.
https://twitter.com/war_mapper/status/1512220138203983875?s=21&t=icZPu9pjuTUDC76to0HMbQ
So far Ukraine has stopped them. But that seems to be the crux of the war at the moment. Both sides are moving more forces to that area.
For whatever reason no one seems that concerned with what’s going on around Kherson, like that’s a sideshow. I think? that means it’s assumed that Ukraine will retake Kherson at some point.
If they retake Melitopol or Mariupol is less assumed. But it seems very unlikely Ukraine will ever sign a peace treaty that gives up those two cities.
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russia is toast. they will level and take mariupol and possibly something else, but it will ultimately go back.
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