It’s this. In theory there’s a threshold where it actually matters, like there was genuine pressure with the ACA repeal and the outrage. But very few are actually persuadable anyway.
A punt from him seems amazing for us. Pretty sure he’s on the record against nuking the filibuster and all about the norms in the “world’s greatest deliberative body.” If he’s punting now, he’s at least open to considering packing the court.
I do think that if the senate is 50/50 and the dems have 49 votes to expand the court (probably not super likely), Joe Manchin isn’t going to be the guy that stands in the way. Just a feeling.
FYI Manchin is now also on record that we need to wait till after the election to confirm a new Supreme Court nominee. We still need Mitt Romney + 1 more or a senator gets the COVID, but we’re not quite drawing dead yet.
Btw the confirmation hearing for Barrett is going to be crazy. Will Kamala go nuts or try to be restrained considering all the attention will be on her?
I honestly can’t believe people are still debating ITT whether the GOP is seating another justice. Whether it’s before or after the election, they’re going to do it. If somebody wants to bet some cash money on that seat still being open on the day of the next inauguration I would be a very willing participant.