It was just so demoralizing to hear the entire debate revolve around “BUT WHAT IF THE NEXT CONGRESS ABUSES SUBPOENA POWER, WHAT IS THE LIMITING PRINCIPLE!” The debate should have started and ended with “you’re asserting absolute Presidential immunity, that’s fucking insane, GTFO.”
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Oh course 40-50% of the country thinks this Congress is abusing its subpoena power anyway.
Cliffs for non law bro’s?
And on your other post as well, you think Sullivan is going to deny? From what I read people weren’t even sure he could do that
The judge could have granted the motion to dismiss.
Instead, he said he’ll set a schedule for third parties to submit briefs on whether the case should be dismissed.
I’m with you. I find it exceptionally difficult to imagine a scenario where Trump wins.
I think people are way underestimating (a) the insane rungood Trump had last time with Comey and associated terrible news coverage and (b) the degree to which Biden is more likeable than Hillary.
Add in a botched pandemic response, great depression level unemployment, and no positive news in sight, and the chance of Trump winning just seems vanishingly small to me. Mayyybbee with a big popular vote / electoral college disparity.
I think the market price is a combination of:
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The correct assumption that the GOP is going to shamelessly cheat, possibly more than previously thought possible due to the pandemic, with the full support of the Supreme Court.
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Memories of Hillary.
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The composition of recreational internet bettors being deplorable-heavy.
The left and Democrats are so used to absolutely nothing mattering, and losing every meaningful fight, that they’re underestimating their chances. Which is a great thing.
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I was thinking more along the lines of
Flynn should go to jail cause Trumps an asshole. Only dressed up a little in legal terminology. Crayon is acceptable.
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This can not possibly be overstated. The cheating this time will be historic. Add to this the army of racist trumpkins who will be lining every voting booth and I’ll be amazed if a dem can even vote.
To add to this, Trump won undecideds / late deciders by a huge margin last time, and would likely need to again this time. And while some percentage of these people were always going to vote for him, a big fraction were not.
The late decider environment is not going to be nearly as favorable to Trump this time. The economy isn’t going to be stable, allowing low info people the mental space to vote for a “blow it up” candidate. The opposing candidate isn’t going to be loathed to the extent people are looking for any reason to vote for someone else. And (hopefully) there won’t be a last minute story as negatively impactful as Comey’s letter.
I would be curious to see data on how late deciders break for incumbents. On its face it seems more likely they would become non voters or vote the opposition but that is pure speculation.
I feel less bad about them being tortured to death by the Chinese government now
lmao not enough jared kushner quotes this term. probably because they’ve all been that exact phrase
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Why isn’t Trump having rallies? Open it up!
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At least Trump succeeded at SOMETHING (reality tv and scamming morons). Kushner is the absolute WOAT
run through the crowd touching hands like jay leno starting the tonight show
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remember a time when people would freely touch dozens of people’s hands? and everybody loved it instead of being repulsed by the carelessness of it all? pepperidge farm remembers.
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Late deciders almost always go against incumbents, but I’m not sure by how much. Obama 2012 was a rare occasion where the incumbent did ok among late deciders.
One theory is that late deciders primarily take into account the incumbent instead of comparing both candidates so that the election turns into a referendum on the incumbent for them.
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