Basically, just need to win both games against Montreal and hope that Washington loses a point somewhere, which seems very possible. Not a horrible position to be in.
You’d think playoff scenarios would be easy with two games left, but the loser point brings so many extra permutations in play.
This is what I can piece together, but I think there are more scenarios involving the Pens and the regulation wins tiebreaker…
The Isles are in if they pick up one more point
The Caps are in if they win their last two games
The Pens are in if they win out and the Caps and Wings each lose once, and can even still steal third place in the Metro if they win out, the Isles lose to the Devils in regulation and the Caps lose once
The Flyers can only make it if they win, the Caps lose both remaining games with at least one in regulation, and the Wings only pick up two more points
The Wings are in if they win out and the Caps don’t, but need to pick up at least three points to even have a chance because they lose all tiebreakers (except in the unlikely scenario that they tie with only the Isles at 90 - that requires Detroit to split with the Habs with the loss going to OT, the Caps to win out, the Isles to lose both of their remaining games in regulation, and the Pens to lose to the Preds)
I guess I dont understand the wild card, why cant the Wings catch the Pens or Caps since they are all tied. You saying they need at least a point makes me think they can only catch the Isles
Yes. And the flyers are actually alive by virtue of the 6th tiebreaker with the capitals. I thought I had seen they were out. Great news for the Wings.
Also, could easily see the scenario where the flyers pull the goalie in a tie game as their only path is to win in regulation.
Which of course could backfire on the Wings if Caps get an empty netter.