The NFL Thread 2: 1. T Swift

NYG confirmed frauds here.

https://twitter.com/kirkgwong/status/1597440294785789954

find a girl who loves you as much as rodgers loves batshit stupid conspiracy theories

Andy Dalton ahead of AAROD

Chiefs - Bengals should be flexed Sunday night but they never flex out cowboys even if they are playing the colts.

cowboys giants on turkey day smashed records that will get more viewers than chiefs bengals

yes that sucks but blame old people

editā€“bengals chiefs is protected as the afternoon game of the week

Ignoring that one more concussion could end Tuaā€™s career does he go #1 overall in a dynasty draft right now?

https://twitter.com/jonas_shaffer/status/1597601278141820934?s=20

Used to hate when tony Romo played for cowboys and every play was a rush to avoid a delay of game. Dak can make like three adjustments and still snap it way before. And it wasnā€™t just Romo flirting with delay of game sometimes they happened. Rushed plays, delay of games no way to run and offense, sorry Baltimore.

I think itā€™s still gotta be Mahomes then Allen before considering anybody else.

https://twitter.com/nfl_memes/status/1597622954514210816?s=61&t=mcC36BsQLdr7cRdam7xm_g

Not nfl obviouslyā€¦

In the meantime, Rodgers gets teammates to believe them:

https://twitter.com/ArifHasanNFL/status/1597436975023169536

The ponies off the graph to the left.

image

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Whatā€™s the terms here and what are the adjustments?

The formula for AY/A is: (Passing Yards + 20(Passing Touchdowns) ā€“ 45(Interceptions Thrown))/(Passing Attempts) . Depending on the weighting you place on touchdowns, the 20 can be switched for 10.

It factors in yard line, down and distance, time left and more. Then thereā€™s Expected Points Added, which measures how a teamā€™s Expected Points changed on a given play . That number, EPA, is what you hear about most often. On first-and-10 from their own 25-yard line, teams score about 1.06 points on average.

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Are they truly independent? Sometimes when you see great linear regression there is some term aliasing going on and there is a partial identity involved.

Something in Y term is a component in the X term (or sometimes there is a highly correlated to term in Y that is used in X).

These can be highly disguised.

Most of these graphs are not properly correlated. I tend to look at them on each axis individually.

Plus even with a correlation the range may be way off.

Depends. Are the lions picking at 1

Great job tanking for tua and then not picking tua.

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Defintely not taking Tua #1 in a dynasty draft but heā€™s having a hell of a year

Yah even Tuaā€™s mom wouldnā€™t take him #1 in a superflex dynasty startup.

https://twitter.com/mikeklis/status/1597990898045853703

Iā€™m amazed half the team showed up.