The NFL Thread 2: 1. T Swift

No no no. The world ends if the Lions win the Super Bowl. If they win there is no way the world survives to a parade. Whatever is on your bucket list you will have 36 hours before the meteor strikes.

This reply right here:

https://twitter.com/beaupbraden/status/1492288821622284291

the world will end before that

Just so you know, every game I’ve watched this week has come up a winner for the team I was roooting for. Go Bengals.

Come on, even I’m not that desperate.

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these reports the packers are going to try to win now and kick all hte cans down the road

except they did that last year

looking fully at it, I guess it’s doable even franchising adams, but there is one thing tho, they can’t add anyone in FA or w/e, they can run it back kicking all the cans down the road but they can’t add on to that being 50M down atm. (okay 44 since cobb’s gonna be snap cut they need the $)

Sure I guess they just figure if they fix the ST unit then that’s all they need, but usually running it back without being able to address something doesn’t work, something goes wrong.

If they Saints could go all-in for nearly half a decade, the Packers can do it for another few years. Obviously will have to get creative and will require buy in from Rodgers (and others) to restructure, but I’m sure they could find a way if they accept being super fucked in a few years (again like the Saints are this year).

I’m in discussions with Rodgers and all relevant parties to figure things out. The one thing we have to be careful with, though, is alienating Jordan Love, since he is the future of this franchise.

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Yeah, they need to decide and trade Love as a sign of good faith to Rodgers. No point in keeping Love if you’re going all in and destroying the future (unless they still think Love is going to be franchise QB, in which case they should probably move on to him now).

Yeah, the value in having a young franchise QB is the low salary they’re on and the talent that allows you to accumulate around them. You need to move onto Love while he’s still cheap, or trade him for assets that will help win in Rodgers remaining window. It’s why the Pats eventually caved and traded Jimmy G.

In the previous 9 Super Bowls, the winning team has been either had Tom Brady on a sub-market deal, a starting QB on a rookie deal, or, the one real exception here, Peyton on the Broncos. Stafford again breaks the trend.

And coin toss winner lost again!

It’s a bit misleading to include the Eagles as a team with a starting QB on a rookie deal as Foles started every playoff game.

He was getting paid backup money. The point is that it’s really hard to win a ring while paying full-fare at QB.

2021 - Brady:

  • First year with new team
  • Was on previous team for 10+ years
  • Super Bowl winner in home stadium

2022 - Stafford:

  • First year with new team
  • Was on previous team for 10+ years
  • Super Bowl winner in home stadium

Aaron Rodgers to Cardinals in the offseason?

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I think Brady just messes things up this analysis. Of the last 9 winners - 4 were Brady, 2 were cheap rookies, 1 was a cheap backup, 1 was Stafford and 1 was expensive and bad Peyton.

Go back 2 more years and you add a rookie Flacco but then an expensive Manning. So non-Brady, it’s three rookie QBs, one cheap journeyman, and three expensive guys (2 of which were crappy Mannings).

And then the 3 before that were Rodgers, Big Rape, and Brees all on non-rookie deals.

It’s obviously much easier to win if you have $30 million in excess value from a young franchise QB, but I don’t think the takeaway should be that teams should roll the dice with cheap journeymen like Foles over expensive proven QBs.

Why is AZ getting another SB when they had one less than a decade ago?

Because the NFL doesn’t want to hold it anywhere that the game might be a little chilly.

The giants hosted one once and that ain’t happening again

they’re basically down to FL/AZ/TX/CA/GA, so they just rotate among them

I would pay up for a top 5 guy, maybe a top 10, but I think the cost-benefit analysis of say the 10th-20th guys would show they’re way overpaid relative to their value in terms of wins. I’d rather dip back into the draft again than pay the 15th best quarterback $25-30M a year, especially if I can trade him for an extra 1st rounder.