The First Trump Impeachment: Wrap Up and AMA (Within Reason)

As I said before, Republicans are results-oriented. They won’t treat Trump as a national security threat until he racks up a body count among people they actually care about. (So, not non-white, non-Christian foreigners…or non-foreigners.) In the absence of body bags, actual removal from office was not a realistic option, so the goal of impeachment always should have been to maximize the probability of removal in November. If you consider believing that there was no realistic path to removing Trump from office via impeachment to be the same as burning it down, then only a hopelessly optimistic idiot would not believe in burning it down.

They’re going to be the same way with regards to climate change. Republicans aren’t going to act until it affects white America or their electoral chances.

Like this clown is literally here playing the “I cant remember anything I was wrong about make a list for me”. And his main point he argued about for weeks in his thread was how Barr and Pence should be impeached first. Why any of you guys are seriously engaging with him is baffling to me.

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It’s the Sens that remove.

For me, it was all about having a display like what happened on the record. You can bludgeon anyone who voted against it in the election. That’s way better than a political game of holding it over his head, which I think would really harm the Democrats. But again, they must try to get Pompeo next ASAP to see if the Senators were only protecting Trump or if it’s top down. I do think they’re going to try again after McGahn, but I think that’s a mistake as the McGahn thing is awful but nowhere near as bad as what happened during the Ukraine scandal where numerous cabinet members and WH counsel are implicated. At this point if they bite again it will have to be worse than the Ukraine scandal, and we don’t want to know what that will be.

I completely disagree with the take that he’s stronger with the electorate. He’s way stronger with the Congress, and see what I said above about how much harder it will be to get anything to stick to him. In the same briefs the WH counsel said Trump can’t investigated, they said have at Pence all you want. Test that theory going Pompeo/Barr/Pence. I don’t think the GOP senate will have nearly as much loyalty to the Tea Party scumbags who burned their party down.

Hindsight tells me the charging was too brutal to the system of checks and balances when they knew the Senate would acquit. But that’s the only problem I have with them besides it not being given over sooner. It makes the importance of the 2020 election stark, and I ultimately think that’s a good thing.

Yeah i know.

There are already worse things then Ukraine. Our border policies and imprisonments and deportations.

No way Barr gets got. He is the one holding up the house of cards. And really i cant see any GOP turning on any of them.

Hope you are right.

Whether those are worse is perspective. Those all fall on policy, monstrous policy, but features not bugs for the GOP. The child separation policy was definitely impeachable, but no way he would have ever been convicted. Keep it in the framers’ minds.

What we know is that they founded the country because they hated the idea of a King. They wanted zero foreign interference in elections because they knew a scummy leader could be bought (no foreign born citizens for president proves this, despite any other office being available to them). They wanted no foreign emoluments for the same reason. Those are basically the worst violations they could think of, and Trump met all of them with the Ukraine scandal. Remember, the framers’ owned slaves, they didn’t give a f*** about non-white men or women, but they sure as hell didn’t want to be under the influence of a foreign leader. They couldn’t comprehend the level of power the U.S. would get in the world, but would have felt the same way about what Trump did.

He’s who they should get to re-gain the feigned confidence of the voters. I believe Pompeo is most likely to get got, but to me it seems pretty clear that the GOP hates Pence way more than they hate Trump and there’s no way they were turning over the country to him.

One way or the other the future of this country is about to be really really clearly defined. I think that’s a good thing even though the result might be catastrophic.

I feel so good about how well the American people will do this time. /sarcasm

You’re talking in esoteric terms. What I’m talking about is literal. I’ll be tuning the fuck out is what I’ll be doing, because what the fuck can I do when we get to that point? Right now, I can sound the alarm when there’s still a shot at changing something, and I will sound that alarm until it’s hopeless and not a day sooner. I patently disagree it’s hopeless right now.

Still, even if that bad event happens if someone has optimism that things will get better, I certainly won’t take a giant shit on them like most of the people here do to anyone who dares to challenge the idea this country’s Constitution isn’t dead yet.

We need a law of the internet like Godwin’s law, stating that when someone on a forum says they’re leaving a topic they’ll be back within a short time. :grin:

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Honestly, at this point, I can’t see a scenario where Trump loses the election and actually leaves office without trying to stay.

Nun,

If you want to understand where (some) people in this forum are at their thinking is this.

  • The institutions have already failed.
  • We are never going to get them back now that the GOP have figured out the “fuck you, try and stop us” cheat codes
  • We need to build new institutions from the ashes of the old
  • The only 2 possible ways to do this are a huge groundswell grassroots popular movement that is so big and willing to strike that it cannot be ignored or a hugely violent and destructive revolution.
  • We hope it’s the first one and that the Bernie presidency can be the tentative baby steps beginning of getting to that point.
  • It’s not about getting anything done. That ship has sailed, no dem president will ever get anything good done ever again. It’s about pointing out why nothing is getting done and getting lots of people mad enough to care.

We feel that you are essentially the ER doc who keeps trying to shock the patient back to life when it’s clear to everyone else that he’s gone. It’s sort of noble and good for you for trying but we’ve moved onto the next patient.

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It’d be nice if he brought back Common Sense. I didn’t agree with everything he said but he made some good points.

Bernie’s election means a lot even if the Senate doesn’t flip. Tangibly, he will sign a shitload executive orders (DACA and the like). Intangibly, the US will have legitimate moral leadership for the first time in a long time.

I think the GOP elected officials are the way they are for two reasons:

  1. Their voters want them that way
  2. They actually are pieces of shit

Even if every citizen that voted for the Dem wrote an angry letter they would shrug.

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All this fundamentally forgets that the idea of ‘burning it all down’, which has a huge amount of advocates on this forum means that we will entrench GOP power in this country for the rest of my lifetime. After that moment we won’t be able to rise up something through the ashes to save us via the will of the people or whatever. Not because they’re better or have more people to oppress us, but because we’re eating each other alive and making it happen (like a zombie apocalypse TV show or movie). It’s profoundly disturbing that most people here just seem to forget that.

Everyone sees what the Trump administration is doing, and the conventional wisdom here is the Dems are effing up their primaries/caucuses as if who you get as your candidate matters even one bit in the scenario that’s coming. That’s the disconnect here. You can’t say it’s all over, and then turn around and say ‘we gotta elect Bernie or die’. I mean I just don’t get that at all. Somewhere deep down or right on top is the idea that something can change without burning everything down or people wouldn’t be so excited about the prospects of Bernie being president. How can he ever be president if all really is lost?

I don’t agree with your assessment, related to this site, that groundswell to change is what’s going on. Bernie ain’t ever getting 70 percent of the vote in this country. This site is mostly firmly in the ‘nothing matters, WAAF’ camp, and I find it odd there is such a disconnect related to that. If we lose in 2020, that’s the correct take. In 2016, after that election, I said we now live in a post fact world. The lies you tell don’t matter anymore. After 2020, if there isn’t a good result if you’re not a Republican or hold whatever ideals they have related to the monstrous policies they push, nothing will matter anymore. I’ll tell you the real cheat code that could change things. F*** with people’s money (take away Social Security or anything else they count on). S*** will get real quick.

This site also loves to look at what’s going on as a ‘timeline’ like in a badly written movie or TV script. Well, guess what, under that formula the Impeachment Trial acquittal was the ‘all is lost’ moment. What we don’t know in the forum’s talk of a ‘timeline’ is whether we’re the living protagonists or the zombies. Whether the script is written from our perspective or whether it’s written from the GOP’s perspective. Whether there’s a Hollywood ending or a French one, or if it’s some bold new writer who might shock us all by subverting our expectations based on how ridiculous the story’s been to this point.

I most certainly am not a nihilist, but this site is filled with them. If nothing truly matters, as is suggested in your post, why are people fighting so hard to get Bernie (many who are firmly in the WAAF camp). I mean we are literally 4 seats away from being able to pass meaningful legislation, and only one seat away from being able to make that meaningful agenda Constitutional. If we lose the Senate and Presidency, meaningful agenda is over in my lifetime. If we somehow lose the House, the GOP will gerrymander us out of existence with the district redrawing coming after the Census.

This isn’t about how ‘rigged’ or not the system is. Everyone knows that, the point is to say we can actually do something about it at this particular point in our country’s history because it’s that close to our reach (we just have to overcome probably an 11 point handicap in cheating). If people didn’t think that was true they wouldn’t be supporting Bernie to the death, and tearing everyone else down. I think they rightly see this is possibly the only time they can get Bernie without a revolution in the perfect storm of Trump. That’s what the people who willed Trump in thought in 2016, as 2016 was their existential crisis (which they slowed or stopped with court packing). They see how important 2020 is to them, and it’s why they picked Trump over the Constitution. I stand by the idea that Mitch is a horrible player, who’s a stone cold bluffer. He’s depended on the weakness of his opponents, that no one’s paying attention to what he’s doing, and ‘luck’ like what happened in 2016 to bail him out. He exposed how bad of a player he is much earlier than this, but the idea of him being a good player came crashing down with how he chose to conduct the Impeachment Trial. He’s really depending on luck right now. That form of luck is him depending on the Democratic Party to tear itself apart during this election.

As I said, I have a bar of where I’ll stop talking about any of this, and it’s losing the 2020 election in a way that entrenches GOP power for the rest of my lifetime (unless maybe there’s a revolution, which would probably still mean the end of my life). Surely it can’t be hard to see why 2020 is such an important dividing line on this point. That’s what this ‘ballot’ is all about, and I want people to treat it that way. I don’t really give a damn how that plays, but I’m gonna play it.

Very true, if the Republican death squads don’t get you you’d still have to fade being fragged by an annoyed soldier on your own side. Don’t like your chances tbh.

I take comfort that you would probably be the first fragged person in any scenario like you describe. But we all know you’d actually be trying to lead the fraggers by the point that scenario would play out.

Sometimes you have to do what’s best for the unit.

I’m just gonna go on a hunch that you thought I meant you’d be leading fragging me. I meant that you would be trying to lead the fragging of everyone.

If he does try to stay after losing and is successful it will be because we have continuously grown the military, police and spying agencies in the United States with almost no pushback. It’s as if we live in a maximum-security prison all the time but the doors are left open and every so often we elect someone who has the power to close those doors, but we just hope that they won’t.

I don’t think military will be necessary. What mechanism is there to remove him that a Republican-controlled Senate would enforce

I may not have been clear, but I expect the police and military will be inclined to support Trump. Even if Congress does not approve Trump staying in office, what happens if there is a night of the Long Knives? Trump might not go that direction but I think we live in a world where he could get away with just having his opposition arrested and I think the people with guns would follow his orders and not congress’s.