The Coup in Bolivia

OAS FOS? NFW :roll_eyes:

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What a surprise the crazy bible lady that named herself president after the coup is not very popular

https://twitter.com/kawsachunnews/status/1280537047263051778?s=21

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For the lithium of me I can’t understand what’s going on over there.

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Maybe the OAS will come to the rescue again?

https://twitter.com/kawsachunnews/status/1283406438375841792?s=21

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Does anyone know of a good way to get funds directly to activists or good organizations in Bolivia?

I’m not trying to donate to an international NGO. Looking for some way to get funds to the people that are on the streets and front lines resisting.

Any ideas appreciated.

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That’s good, lol. I’ve been supporting Bolivia for decades in that regard.

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Hot take: if the only way to stop an idea from spreading is with violence, the idea is probably a good one.

Counterpoint: National Socialism

There’s a link in here to the most recent statistical analysis that’s pretty interesting. Apparently there is a significant impact on the complex linear regression analysis depending on how exactly you order the 5% of voting locations that hadn’t yet reported at the time the government inexplicably shut down the real-time vote-count monitoring system before showing back up the next day to report that, when they did the final count, those unreported ballots turned out to be hugely in favor of the regime. There’s a whole appendix about it–very interesting stuff. It would be so very hard to interpret the whole story without advanced linear regressions.

This paragraph is pretty insightful too:

Alongside the quantitative results, the OAS emphasized many other indicia of electoral manipulation: secret servers, falsified tally sheets, undisclosed late-night software modifications, and a fragile chain of custody for voter rolls and ballots, among
other problems (OAS, 2019a).4 We assess only the quantitative evidence, not the
integrity of the election overall. The quantitative results alone merit attention because they played an important role in the evolution of Bolivia’s political crisis (see
Context section). The OAS drew an explicit connection between their quantitative
findings and the outcome, stating that Morales’s victory was “only made possible by
a massive and unexplainable surge in the final 5% of the vote count. Without that
surge . . . he would not have crossed the 10% margin that is the threshold for outright
victory” (p. 94). In contrast, the OAS presented other irregularities (secret servers,
etc.) as evidence that the government “sought to manipulate the results,” not that
the government actually manipulated the results (p. 4, emphasis added).

OAS election observers (fools and CIA stooges): These fake tally sheets prove that the election was rigged!
Mr Sciences (wise): Well actually, the fake tally sheets prove that the government tried to rig the election. As the following 47 pages will show, statistical techniques fail to reject the null hypothesis that the government falsified a bunch of tally sheets but failed to change the actual vote totals. After all, the votes that were embargoed overnight are only more favorable to the regime by 10 percentage points.

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Nice job finding that in there.

Three weeks to go until the first round of the Bolivian presidential election. MAS(Evo Morales’ party) is polling around the threshold(40%) necessary to avoid a 2nd round runoff.

This interview with MAS’s VP candidate touches on the election, the environment, the coup, the history of social and indigenous movements in Bolivia, and colonialism.

Exit poll

20201019_005220

I’m sure they’ll say it was rigged again

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Massive win for Morales and company. Massive L for the fascist coup.

Over here, massive L for Elon Musk and propagandists like Yascha Mounk.

People who got this right basically immediately: Bernie

People who got this wrong: Literally every single other primary candidate.

Just in case anyone votes based on US imperial aggression

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hell yeah

Oh god results are coming in now I can’t believe it

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Nice touch from the current ‘President’.

We still do not have an official count, but from the data we have, Mr. Arce and Mr. Choquehuanca have won the election. I congratulate the winners and ask them to govern with Bolivia and democracy in mind.

https://twitter.com/JeanineAnez/status/1318048552191483904

Hope she’s packing her bags.

https://mobile.twitter.com/camilateleSUR/status/1318208181261271040

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https://twitter.com/kawsachunnews/status/1321113920803872768?s=21

https://twitter.com/kawsachunnews/status/1321114600771887109?s=21

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