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you missed out on this dude being one election away from being the election prediction guru
For the record, the PRIMARY MODEL picks the winner of 25 out of 27 elections since 1912, when presidential primaries were introduced. The misses are 1960, one of the closest presidential elections, and 2000, when the late count in Florida handed Bush the victory; still Al Gore wound up winning the popular vote.
welp, he convinced me its rigged.
5. Biden Overcame Trump’s Commanding Primary Vote
In the past, primary vote totals have been remarkably accurate in predicting general election winners. Political analyst David Chapman highlighted three historical facts before the election.
First, no incumbent who has received 75 percent of the total primary vote has lost re-election. Second, President Trump received 94 percent of the primary vote, which is the fourth highest of all time (higher than Dwight Eisenhower, Nixon, Clinton, or Obama). In fact, Trump is only one of five incumbents since 1912 to receive more than 90 percent of the primary vote.
Third, Trump set a record for most primary votes received by an incumbent when more than 18 million people turned out for him in 2020 (the previous record, held by Bill Clinton, was half that number). For Biden to prevail in the general election, despite Trump’s historic support in the primaries, turns a century’s worth of prior election data on its head.
Joe Biden achieved the impossible. It’s interesting that many more journalists aren’t pointing that out.
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But then no republicans will be able to post since they lie so much and twitter would get sued…
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that’s fucking amazing
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Cook County, IL
Hillary 1,528,xxx
Biden 1,725,xxx
Second one I checked (NY only 85% counted).
Wait, so Trump (and most other people) mocked the shit out of Hillary for neglecting to campaign in swing states and then losing to Donald by a few votes. And now they’re pretending it’s impossible that a campaign that focused much harder on those swing states was able to beat him?
Not gonna read that article, but lol.
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Yup. Of course, pointing out this logical inconsistency isn’t going to change the mind of a single MAGA dipshit.
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Hello Meme Central
https://twitter.com/marmel/status/1332131897627951104?s=21
https://twitter.com/huffpost/status/1332234042012524544?s=21
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Whats up with Jr? Has he been in public since pozzed?
Edit: Seems he’s OK. Of fucking course.
You have to admit, this tiny desk really does distract from his tiny hands. That must have been what they were going for.
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He was just relegated to the kids table for Thanksgiving while the adults sat at the actual table. He’ll be back to pretending to be an adult today.
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