My last week
Never been beaten that bad in my time playing fantasy football. Nothing to do really but laugh when it is that bad.
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I’m more of a season long player. We are a dying breed.
I’m not playing a lot this year but am still in a couple leagues that have been going for 10 plus years.
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Overall, this has been the worst fantasy football year for me in at least a decade.
Losing McCaffery and Barkley, then trading for Cooper and Prescott only for the latter to break his ankle in the very next game has been super-unlucky. I’ve put in waiver requests for 7 players for this week.
i play a couple of NBA season long that have been running for 10+ years too. I don’t think DFS is a substitute. At least in NBA seasons I cared more about my team in a league that is like $500 a person for a full season than I did with my DFS teams that had more riding than that on a daily basis. Season long is fun, especially if your league is active with trading and trash talking
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I feel like mlb/nfl are by far the hardest dfs sports. Idk baseball so I stay away, but these two seem to have by far the most pros with them. I’m up a little in nba/nhl/epl despite being a low stakes punter, and they just seem much more casual. I’ve won tournaments in nhl and gotten reallllly close in NBA.
One week after winning a “big” live tournament, I got 2nd in a lol $100 live tournament, 3rd in the $3 NBA tournament and hit 3 roulette spins in a row on the same day. For only wagering like $203 or whatever, made like $7k.
Do any of you play the TNF/SNF/MNF single game slates? I make ownership projections for them if anyone’s interested.
The problem with DFS imo is that its really tough on the low level players. That would include me. I like playing, but not for a lot of money. So if I’m only spending $10 on a Sunday, I’m not going to break my neck doing research. And without a lot of research, its hard to win. There are a bunch of people who play big money and do a lot of study. But they don’t confine themselves to the big money contests. They play the $1 contests too. And that makes it even harder for the average Joe to win. Plus there’s a lot of unchecked collusion, where several people will play the same lineup in a double-up or 50/50.
All that said, I still like it, and I can stretch a $100 investment for months at a time without having to re-up. But I rarely make enough to cash out a check. Low-level online poker was a much easier and effective way to make a little money while having fun.
Never played DFS so don’t have a lot to say about that but I’ve been in one fantasy football keeper league for ~15 years and while we have several rules I don’t care for we also do payouts for the weekly high scorer and I think it’s the best feature of any league I’ve been in for maintaining player engagement as well as making sure people who get unlucky with luckstacking don’t owe a full buy in every year.
I also mention it here as if it’s significant because most people I bring it up to have never thought to do it but like the idea.
Yessir.
I think i have like -95% roi in nfl showdowns
There are restrictions on the low buyins i’m not sure what they are.
I mean i obv ran very hot, but i played $80 dollars a slate for a year in nba/mlb just max entering the $4 20-max tourny. I think it’s doable, but probably not on a 10 bucks budget.
I’m 6-1 and leading in points in my non-ppr league with 805.
I lost Dak to the injury which sucked but hopefully Herbert or Wentz can keep playing well in his absence.
This is only my 3rd season playing; won my first season, did horribly my second and so far winning my 3rd. Only $40 entry with 10 teams so will be up $680 overall if I win this season.
Having my weirdest season. I’m 6-1 and in first place. However, I’m 8th (of 12) in points. Opponents have scored 519 points against me, next lowest is 613.
On the bright side, all three of my keepers and top pick have missed most of the season - CMC, Ekeler, Godwin, and Chark - so if/when they come back I should hopefully be in good shape for the playoffs.
They’ve added some contests on DK like the ones where you do multiple choice instead of full slate of players in an effort to help the people who don’t research really hard. I don’t like those though. I do best on MLB and NHL. Not very good at all at NFL. My best GPP win is $150 in a $20 contest that I satellited into in MLB. The pay schedule sucks compared to poker as well. Too many cash in GPP’s making it hard to make money on a decent finish. DK just got rid of step satellites, which is a shame since the rake was lower on them and it was a way to occasionally run $2 into $200.
I’ve never done the DK one before. Is it 6 players, MVP spot gets 1.5x, and both kickers and DST are selectable?
Yes. MVP cost 1.5x as well.
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The Slant on Sundays has a good payout structure. Give that one a look ($9 buy in) but your best bets are low buy-in single entries.
If you try to win 6 figures on 3 dollar buy-in you’re most likely going to lose life time.
You should aim to play the maximum allowed entries in a tournament if you think your +EV, so single entries solve that problem.
Since I haven’t done DK I don’t have an adjustment factor for it. On Fanduel, I know how the field will react to my baseline projections so I have that fudge factor built in. Can you reply this and identify a few spots you’d love to bet against my model being off in the O/U columns?
| NAME | POS | TEAM | CPT.OS | O/U | Total.OS | O/U |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Teddy Bridgewater | QB | CAR | 0.123 | - | 0.490 | - |
| Mike Davis | RB | CAR | 0.205 | - | 0.647 | - |
| Matt Ryan | QB | ATL | 0.087 | - | 0.418 | - |
| Julio Jones | WR | ATL | 0.101 | - | 0.468 | - |
| Calvin Ridley | WR | ATL | 0.065 | - | 0.384 | - |
| Robby Anderson | WR | CAR | 0.100 | - | 0.459 | - |
| Todd Gurley | RB | ATL | 0.124 | - | 0.535 | - |
| D.J. Moore | WR | CAR | 0.098 | - | 0.480 | - |
| Curtis Samuel | WR | CAR | 0.021 | - | 0.312 | - |
| Russell Gage | WR | ATL | 0.034 | - | 0.412 | - |
| Hayden Hurst | TE | ATL | 0.002 | - | 0.119 | - |
| Joey Slye | K | CAR | 0.018 | - | 0.358 | - |
| Younghoe Koo | K | ATL | 0.015 | - | 0.329 | - |
| Brian Hill | RB | ATL | 0.006 | - | 0.273 | - |
| Carolina Panthers | DST | CAR | 0.000 | - | 0.081 | - |
| Atlanta Falcons | DST | ATL | 0.001 | - | 0.064 | - |
| Ian Thomas | TE | CAR | 0.000 | - | 0.060 | - |
| Ito Smith | RB | ATL | 0.000 | - | 0.026 | - |
| Keith Kirkwood | WR | CAR | 0.000 | - | 0.037 | - |
| Alexander Armah | RB | CAR | 0.001 | - | 0.031 | - |
| Chris Manhertz | TE | CAR | 0.000 | - | 0.012 | - |
| Trenton Cannon | RB | CAR | 0.000 | - | 0.008 | - |
| Luke Stocker | TE | ATL | 0.000 | - | 0.000 | - |
Hurst is going to be more than 0.2% in the cpt that seems like an error if i’m reading it properly. Over 11% flex as well imo
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What about QBs and kickers? On FD, QBs are always higher and K always lower than what I project. Do you see anything like that here?
yeah your kickers are way higher than what I expect to see and your QB are lower.
It is an interesting matchup because there are so many ‘elite’ options on both teams that you have to find some lower options which is why I agree Gage and Samuel should be quite popular, but 41% is really really high.