South Carolina Primary Discussion & Prediction

South Carolina primary is today. Barring some sort of miracle, Biden is looking like he will win his first primary state ever. Final RCP average shows him with a comfortable 15% lead. Polls are open now and close at 7pm EST.

BIDEN MARGIN OF VICTORY?

  • Bernie wins
  • ≤ 5%
  • 5.01 - 10%
  • 10.01 - 15%
  • 15.01 - 20%
  • 20.01 - 25%
  • Over 25%

0 voters

CANDIDATES THAT WILL RECEIVE DELEGATES

  • Joe
  • Bernie
  • Liz
  • Tom
  • Amy
  • Pete

0 voters

Beat you by 1 minute. But your thread is better.

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Sadly I think Biden wins. Lol the south.

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Bern got this

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Wonder if this will play a factor, and how much?

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Hoping my elite Snake Lady Warren crushes this thing by like 25 points!

My second desired outcome would be Bernie pulling an upset and lawnmower launching.

Let us gogogogogogo!

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Me too but it’s more a gut instinct than a thoughtful analysis. I do, however, think that the gap is close and Bernie might surprise.

It’s not even 11 EST and the sweat is on. Thanks to the unstuck community/support group in advance.

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Unfortunately I don’t think this going to be too close. Fortunately super Tuesday is near enough that Biden won’t get the full bump in time, especially since there’s already been a bunch of early voting.

No real factor, maybe a few hundred votes tops.

Bernie has this locked up.

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SC so different from the first 3 states. We will certainly learn a lot today.

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I admire your confidence but I expect Biden to crush and the media to fawn over him for the next two days, resulting in Bernie with a slimmer-than-we’d-like lead after Super Tuesday while the media is all-in on Joe as the presumptive nominee.

Hope I’m wrong, but until I see otherwise I’m going to continue to assume that we live in the worst timeline.

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definitely. My head says Biden wins, probably by less than 5%. My heart is saying Bernie got this locked up.

I’m just gonna project what I want out into the universe here and hope for the best.

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Absolute lock of the century that the media will try to crown Biden as the presumptive nominee if he wins today. They will do everything they can to give him the momentum heading into Super Tuesday, and to attack Bernie as unelectable.

That being said, we’ve all seen one or two outters on the river. Today would be a real nice time to be on the winning side of that with a Bernie win.

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https://mobile.twitter.com/KillerMike/status/1233495107996831744

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It’s not an act.

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Biden likely wins, likely easily. If Bernie stays with double digits, it’s a win for him.

MM MD

Haha but Trump rigging the election is the real problem right libs? Gotta vote for the DNC no matter who!

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I propose changing the Party names to “Good Cop” and “Bad Cop”.

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