Agreed the UK is in some trouble. Strange the graphic pits UK ~67M population against US ~360M poulation but probably more population number is an estimate at best.
NY ~8M population has similar infected numbers to UK ~67m population so that’s where it gets interesting (especially if US start using correct cause to identify deaths)
TL:dr - One small corner of the US will have more deaths than UK.
IMO Italy will be lucky to keep it under 30,000 deaths
Stay Safe US
‘If UK keep deaths under 20,000 we will have done well’
NHS England medical director Prof Stephen Powis says if the death toll in the UK is kept below 20,000, “we will have done very well”. It was “possible to get on top of this virus”, he added.
It’s the 28th today (March not February) and we learn USA#1 will soon be able to do tests in less than 5 days. That’ll make a little difference to the statistics
There was a comparison circulating between the Italy and Netherlands numbers up to ~100 deaths, which were basically identical. It had a lot of Dutch people freaking out, but this trend hasn’t continued 1-to-1 fortunately. I guess this has to do with measure being taken earlier in the NL, and this shows now.
I assume by “cultural habits” you mean the family closeness across generations? (e.g. Sunday dinners and the higher percentage of grown kids who live with their parents).
Also, are Italian towns more densely populated than in other Western European countries?
Czech Republic had 373 new cases yesterday which is far beyond the most cases in a single day previous to it. Including the number mentioned today, that brings the country to the total of 2541 cases with 619 of those cases in Prague.
However, that comes as a result of lowering the requirements for testing eligibility. On top of that, the amount of tests conducted per day has increased every day for the last week. The percentage of positive tests hangs around 6 or 7% regardless of the number conducted daily. It is expected that the government will able to process 10,000 tests per day by the end of next week. So by then, we’ll probably be looking at least 700 new cases per day.
While yesterday brought news of the 11th recovery in a hospital, today brought news of two deaths but information about them has not been revealed.
A system called “smart quarantine” will have a trial run in South Moravia where infected people give informed consent to have their movement and actions collected by the government through mobile phone data and card payments for the previous 5 days to see who the person came in contact with. The idea being that they will be able to go back all those days to quarantine anybody that person interacted with even if the infected doesn’t remember.
Just a typical heartbreaking story that’s going to play out 10s or 100s of 1000s of times in the coming year - someone dying alone in the hospital while their loved ones feel helpless.
I’ve decided if my mom, stepdad, dad or sister gets it I’m just going to drive to where they are and play it by ear. Maybe I can give them a hug with a garbage bag over me before they go into the hospital or something. I know I’ll be safe from giving it to anyone because I’ve been completely isolated and won’t be on a plane.
If it’s an aunt, cousin or uncle I think I’m better of just staying put, as heartbreaking as it is.
What about in countries like Mexico where a huge portion of the population lives day to day? Not only that, but the government seems uninterested/unable to help out the people and can’t just print out trillions of dollars. Tough to manage a few weeks in a lockdown scenario much less a few months up to a year.
Of course but we’ll have treatment available before then that will be more effective and available as time goes on.
I really don’t think there’ll be a second wave. I don’t expect this to stop during the summer. Thailand is in the mid/high 90s everyday around March and they’re just now registering large increases in cases.
