SARS-CoV-2: Electric Superflu

That’s a high-risk read during a TP shortage.

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Worth a read, especially if you know people who need to read it as you can then share it with them. Fair warning, it’s an unpleasant read.

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He can always skip the last part when it starts getting bleak and when he’s already got the information on how easily infected we are.

And here people thought laws against being outside meant the police were going to be arresting rich kids partying in Ft. Lauderdale.

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Damn the 80~ year old man who dresses super nice and walks our neighborhood at dawn every single morning is still out there. This guy is now my hero. I’m gonna start talking to him from my window and also apologize for all those times our cars were sticking out of our driveway into his path.

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That article doesn’t help in any way. All it shows is why a respiratory virus is very infectious while coming up with numbers that are straight up guesses.

https://twitter.com/jasonfurman/status/1240820245838868482?s=21

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I know that this data is very close to meaningless, given variation in testing rates and lags between infection and death.

BUT

It is freaking me the fuck out to see logarithmic charts curving upward.

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I think if you don’t already know this stuff you haven’t been paying attention.

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Not sure why all cruise ships were not surrounded by naval vessels in various countries once this all started.

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Guess we getting the last laugh on those doctors hoarding all the supplies at various hospitals.

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He is probably really talking about Feinstein.

Essentially those up curves on the log charts look like diauxic growth in bacteria.

Classic example is E. coli growing on glucose and acetate. They grow rapidly on the glucose exclusively then when the glucose Runs out they grow slower on the acetate. If we were to add More glucose the growth rate would curve up until the growth rate is back to the faster rate.

In our case-glucose is a population taking no measures. Acetate is society with social distancing or preferably shutdown (total starvation).

Since the world number is total of the everything, there will be a combination of
Maximum growth
Slowed growth
No growth.

Of course the population sizes and length of uncontrolled growth matter

The more places the virus gets a strong foothold in (eg Western Europe and US). The more those numbers will dominate the world rates. Hence the upturn.

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Like, in person? He posted a short video to twitter within the last 24 hours.

GOP going to GOP. They get everyone to stop worrying about the 1% getting a payout while they take away or greatly reduce payouts to the middle class and poor.

The Democrats in the house will save us all! :rofl:

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Can you suggest they pivot to medical supply manufacturing and save the Fortune 500 company and get a $1500 bonus?

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And yes In this scenario we are the food for the virus.

That is clearly not what he is saying.

I thought it was a great read, tbh.

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I thought the means of infection were helpful. I’m the kind of person who always wants to understand how things work.