sorry if I’m ponied here but friend of friend put this together
https://app.deck.tools/forecasts2020/chamber-forecast/president
seems useful for redistricting?
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Oh yuv asked about early indicators, it was said before that if Sumter county Florida is lower than 67% for trump, he’s probably fucked.
We should get good look at Sumter results early.
My avatar and I approve of this post.
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Not sure I’ve ever been as anxious about anything as I expect to be tomorrow evening. Part of me wants to just avoid all coverage, but I don’t have the will power.
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I’m optimistic, but also lolQuinnipiac
My lawnmower is in Alpha Centauri reading people getting excited about polls with DOUBLE DIGIT undecideds.
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10% undecideds in Election Eve Quinny polls? C’mon…
This my friend is correct, you know your whisky.
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One thing I was getting excited about for the 2020 POTUS Bowl compared to 2016 was that I moved from the east coast to the west coast (NC → WA), so I was excited to get to see all the results at a reasonable time and knowing the result before going to bed. Oh well guess that’s not going to happen, it was a nice thought though.
Other than PA, is there a battleground state we won’t have a real good sense of by late in the night? I thought NC, FL, OH, TX are pretty fast, and those will tell us a lot, no?
I believe Michigan is also supposed to take a long time to count, if that’s still considered a battleground.
I’m nervous but it could be just the coffee. Take that away and I probably fall asleep. Going for a walk. I hope it’s tomorrow by the time I get back.
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I figure if we’re hanging on Michigan late ballots, then WAAF already.
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I’m not going to lose sleep over MI. If we’re losing MI it’ll be obvious we’re fucked long before it matters.
EDIT: Ponied by 10 seconds.
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Yeah, Kentucky closes at like 6 and will be called based on exit poles.
Lol if we’re competitive in KY or Indiana this is going to be Mondale territory. My stress level will go way way way down if that happens.
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Ralston thinks based on detailed analysis of the early vote that Nevada will be Biden +4. His track record has been very good, so expect him to be close to correct barring super shenanigans.
He is generally seen as a neutral commentator, but he slams the GOP pretty hard here:
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Just go here and look around:
Good point. Perhaps I just set the bar really low for my expectations there so they can be broken. Though I still don’t have much confidence 