https://mobile.twitter.com/nycsouthpaw/status/1310227211513925639
https://mobile.twitter.com/BillPascrell/status/1310224864901582849
Just your typical $2.4 million, four-bedroom house on the water.
Diane Feinstein is a sitting senator from this state
https://twitter.com/politics_polls/status/1310340693387341825?s=21
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Feinstein is the same age that RBG was when she passed away. Not that I wish death upon Feinstein, but given the circumstances we ran so bad with which octogenarian couldn’t hold on long enough.
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True story, I met a real-life soon-to-be Jorgensen voter last night. I was too drunk to learn specifics but did get a healthy earful of “government bad ldo”
There is a guy that works for AT&T in the local office that works with my group at my company. So he’s on calls every week with me and others even though we never interact because his position doesnt really involve me. We have a mutual facebook friend that is very political and this dude happens to jump into her comments on occasion and i’m sure he’s seen me posting my takes in her comments. I never direct anything to him since technically we work together and I don’t need him talking about me to anyone that might also work with us.
Anyways, he’s always taking trumps side on most shit but he’s said at least a couple times he’s voting Jorgensen.
That’s pretty great, tbqh.
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It might sounds horribly naive, but I think this year Nate’s model is off. In 11% of his outcomes, Trump is winning the popular vote, and that doesn’t account for possible rigging this year that would exceed earlier elections.
For that to happen, either polls must be historically wrong at this point in time (no reason at all to assume this) or the model still accounts for a lot of volatility, which also seems unlikely given the stability of the polling thus far.
Well, his model also thinks the Heat have a 74% chance of beating the Lakers.
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hahahaha, related (@Trolly)
(Not Wyclef’s best, but it amused me back in the day and I barely knew who the Rock was)
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It’s this. There are still 5 weeks until the election. If the polls are the same now on election night Nate’s model is going ot be like 90 percent for Biden. He’s indicated that himself. There’s still a chance the polls move like 3-4 points in Trumps direction, and then there is a “normal polling” error to account for the rest of it.
For Trump to win the election sure, maybe, but to win the popular vote? No way.
https://mobile.twitter.com/Nate_Cohn/status/1310590763093430275
There are several scary universes where this provide’s Biden’s 270th electoral vote.
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Yea it’s a very important single electoral vote.
If you were under the impression that every Republican is looking for ways to rig elections, I’ll point out that the Nebraska Legislature hasn’t changed that. I’m sure they have their reasons, but those reasons conflict with winning the Presidency at all costs.
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You’ve convinced me that all this voter suppression is nonsense and the GOP is a good faith party. Excellent post!