A few gnarly hands from last night:
Hand #1
Blinds 200/400-400, I have 13k chips to start the hand.
Loose passive lady limps UTG, I make it 1500 with AQo, button calls, splashy guy in BB calls, UTG calls
Flop A45r - BB checks, UTG checks, I make bet 2000 (1/3 pot), button folds, splashy guy in BB makes it 7000, UTG folds. I have about 10k behind, he has me covered.
This screams 2p to me since I think this guy is happy to just call with A2 or 56. Mayybe AJ or AT. Could be a set but that might just flat. If I continue I’m most likely putting up 10k more to win about 20k more. I feel like even though I am probably behind, I have at least a few outs against 2p and will have more by the river most times - which I think if it’s super close might tip the scales.
Hand #2
I have about 70k chips in MP. Blinds 600/1200-1200
UTG limps, UTG+2 limps, I decide to call AThh although maybe I should be reraising there. Button calls, SB calls, BB checks.
SB is drunk and pretty much bets any open pots he gets a chance to. He bets small when he has nothing or to see where he’s at. Bets big when he has it. Has been caught bluffing the river at least once and I suspect was bluffing a lot more.
Flop 8h7d4c. SB bets 2000 into 8400 pot, it folds to me, I call, button folds
Turn 7c - check, check
River 3d - he bets 4600
I feel like flop is an easy call since this guy could have anything, so I might have the best hand and I have some back door draws. River feels like a call too.
Hand #3
Same villain as hand 2, I have 55k chips, Blinds 500/1000-1000
UTG (villain has me covered) makes it 2400, MP calls, HJ calls, CO calls, I call A3cc on button, SB folds, button calls
Flop Tc6c4h - BB checks, UTG bets 14k for basically pot, folds to me
Maybe I should have shoved pre - but villain could snap me off pretty easily. Folding pre seems terrible. Obviously with my stack here I’m usually pretty willing to try to get it in on any flop with two clubs.
On the flop I know this means he has a piece - almost certainly a 10 or better. He bets small when he doesn’t have it. So I have roughly zero fold equity. If I call I probably have one card to hit my hand since he’s leading big or shoving basically any turn. I do have a pretty good chance to double up if I hit since he’s leading enough to commit himself most of the time.