I dont know why you’re treating haralabob like some God of knowledge.
Cs have crushed GS in minutes where Iggy has played. Gsw has comfortably won the rest. If Kerr can avoid playing Iggy and Dray together and being 3v5 on offense, Celts will need an adjustment or to be 50%+ from 3.
Every book has this series as even right now. If you think Boston is 80%+, it’s the money making opportunity of a lifetime for you. I dont think the books are that off.
desperately want to bet hard against the woyas but i saw steph shoot in the all star game and i dont dare
Haralabos definitely knows more than 99%, and was a pioneer in factoring in refs biases into betting even pre-Donoughy scandal. I’m more adamant about the game two rigging than the Cs def winning the series, it would have taken a Godlike performance for Cs to win that game. It’s not an anti-Warriors thing, if Cs are down 2-3 then game 6 at home will be rigged in their favor with Smart and Grant Williams taking advantage like Draymond did today.
I will continue betting on the Cs but main thing I’m flying in the dark other than the wildcard of health on both sides is GPII’s impact and him looking good in game 2, he is the kind of guy that sharps would love and he is eating up a lot of useless minutes as you say.
I know a lot about Bob. We have a bunch of mutual friends. His dad is the nicest OMC you’ll see in a poker room.
Lol at everyone just eating the shit sandwich and pretending it’s not shit.
This is futile though because any attempt at using evidence or logic is met by “U mad breh? lolololol Boston! Play more physical!” It’s bad faith bullshit - so carry on.
But RAPTOR (lol) had them as 52% road favorites and 76% home favorites. I would have thought that a 5-game series with HCA would be worth more than that. By splitting, they kill 55% of Woyaz total win outcomes. However, I don’t get the same series price they get simming it out with their own numbers. In fact, I ran all of the series prices at every point and none of it matches. Guess how surprised I am.
How bizarre.
One poster is blaming the refs for two basic fouls being the reason they lost a game by 30.
The turnovers and poor shooting of the role players is why they lost.
Just so I’m understanding everything correctly, it is widely known by everyone that certain games of the finals are 100% rigged by the league and the players are just…okay with this?
We are a “Bobby Orr deserved it” away from full Boston supporter meltdown in a series tied 1-1
Don’t lump me in with those guys
Raptor had the Jazz as the favorites almost the entirety of last season, maybe even the beginning of the playoffs. Maybe we can retire citing that stat over betting lines?
Correct. There is no publicly available model that consistently outperforms betting lines. Usually they perform laughably bad in comparison. It’s the reason these models are publicly available, rather than secretly making their creators filthy rich.
My favorite will still be 538 having Brazil as 50% to win the 2014 WC pre tournament. They were at home which is a big advantage, but had maybe the 5th best team. The 5th best team being 50% to win a 32 team tournament bc of home field was insane.
Think the books had them about 5/1 or so, which was still high but understandable.
My favorite soccer memory of all time was being in Vegas for that Germany-Brazil match, betting on Germany, and laughing my ass off in (the sadly now closed) Lagasse’s stadium, surrounded by Brazil fans as Germany scored 4 goals in 6 minutes.
Didn’t know that closed down, had some good times there watching games.
Not just the league and the players, but also people who voluntarily wager on the games and are complaining about the obvious rigging.
If you know how the rigging works then it’s a feature, not a bug, for sports bettors. DUCY?
My office had a woman from Brazil. Some were watching on a tv. I was streaming in my office so was on a delay.
It sounded like she was getting stabbed repeatedly next to me and I sat nowhere near the employee lounge with the tv.
What choice do they have? They get fined for looking at the refs funny much less publicly talking about it. If it’s especially egregious then maybe ten years down the road everyone will acknowledge it and they can talk about it then: