Jesus mother fucking Christ on a cracker.
You called, my son?
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Mitch has to be up there for GOAT politician when it comes to accomplishing his goals right?
Imagine if the Dems had a Mitch.
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Seems like prime time for AOC to start up an actual progressive pro labor party.
Yeah he’s a goat contender unfortunately.
They do - Chuck
Its fucking impressive to have POTUS, House and 58-60 Senate seats and pass the health care plan of the opposition party
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They used to have LBJ. That dude could get some shit done.
Unfortunately one of the things he decided to get done was disastrous escalation in Vietnam.
I know we love to point to LBJ as an effective politician, and god knows I’ve done it, but it really was a different era. There is absolutely nothing any Democrat could possibly do to manipulate Mitch like LBJ manipulated Richard Russell.
LBJ had that big dick energy that most Democrats lack these days.
Probably whipped it out in front of Russell after he got off the phone with Haggar customer service complaining about how tight the crotch of his pants were
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Their priorities:
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Maintain personal leadership/power within the party.
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Keep the majority because it boosts 1.
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Get some policy wins your donors like.
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Help some people, if you can without upsetting 1 through 3.
My Dearest Lindsey,
Please cease to process judicial nominations and allow the Biden-Harris Administration the opportunity to appoint judges after Inauguration Day.
Hugs and Kisses,
DiFi
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Does it say when this convo between Mitch happened? Can’t see paywalled article
She managed the herculean task of getting a Dem House to pass a…checks notes…right-wing healthcare plan. And don’t you dare forget it.
This feels more accurate, unfortunately. At least until we can get The Squad in leadership positions.
I’ve heard multiple sources claim that incumbents had something of a built-in advantage in these deep Hispanic areas - as kind of a devil you know thing. Hopefully after 4 years of Biden not doing any of the stuff they’re scared of, they’ll swing back somewhat.
Campaigning based upon, and in response to, the lies your opponent tells is political suicide. John Kerry was REPORTING FOR DUTY sixteen god damn years ago and they’re still making the same mistake.
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The Dem consultant class has some thoughts:
There was a uniform swing of roughly 1.5 percentage points toward us, relative to 2016. Education polarization, which is the gap between how college-educated white people vote and how non-college-educated white people do, continued to grow. And Hispanic voters swung against us by a lot. Exactly how much is unclear. But potentially by as much as 12 points. And the sum total of all the things was that we were able to narrowly win the Electoral College. So that was the big picture at the presidential level.
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It’s educational polarization. As a whole, the Midwest continues to trend against us, and I think this election in a lot of ways was a natural continuation of the trends that happened in 2016. The public polling suggested that a bunch of non-college-educated whites were going to come home to the Democratic Party, and while that may have been true in a few discrete places, nationally that did not happen. In fact, the gap got worse. And, broadly speaking, the worse that you do with non-college-educated whites, the more structurally disadvantaged you are in the American electoral system. And this is especially true now that all politics is national. We spoke about this last time but, there’s been this 20-year — or arguably 40-year — trend toward less ticket-splitting on the Senate, House, and state-legislative levels. That continued. The ultimate correlations between presidential vote share and Senate vote share was higher in 2020 than it was in 2016.
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We’re not going to know exactly what happened until there’s more analysis of precinct results. But I think that the county-level data we have tells a pretty clear big-picture story. Which is that we won the presidency because, one, while we lost non-college-educated white voters, we kept those defections to a relatively low level, and two, a bunch of moderate Republicans who had voted for Trump in 2016 decided to vote for Biden this time.Turnout was up, but it was up for both parties. According to Nate Cohn’s estimates, Black turnout was probably up by around 8 percent, but non-Black turnout was up by something like 15 to 20 percent. So we had the highest-turnout election in a century, and despite that, we still only won because a bunch of people switched their votes in our direction.
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And then there’s the other problem with the mobilization theory: As education polarization increases, this truism that “if more people vote, we win” is increasingly less true. If you look at some of the county-level returns in Wisconsin, I think there’s very good evidence that the marginal nonvoters who came out this time — but not last time — leaned Republican. I think that as non-college whites become more and more conservative, the pool of nonvoters has gone from being an overwhelmingly Democratic group to relatively even. Those trends are going to continue. And frankly, if nonwhite, non-college-educated voters keep drifting away from us, it’s going to continue in another direction too.
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This does get to your earlier question and to this very real tension that exists right now in the Democratic Party. Voters are now determining their opinions about parties in a unified way and not reading about individual local candidates. There’s arguably less local news. But people’s consumption of local news has definitely decreased, while their consumption of national news has increased. So it’s hard for candidates in redder areas to differentiate themselves from the national party than it used to be. This is part of why ticket-splitting is declining.
Seems like reasonable analysis so far. Hopefully it’s not all BS. Because of course it leads to:
And that does create some awkward trade-offs. Like, it is now true that what a left-wing congressperson in a deep-blue district says will get transmitted adversarially by the Republican media, and to a significant extent by the mainstream media, to people who disagree. And those people won’t say, “Oh, this left-wing congressperson, well, he’s crazy. But Max Rose? He’s dope.” They’re just going to say, “Oh, Democrats support socialism now, because there’s this one socialist congressperson.”
It’s all AOC’s fault of course. Every single Dem congressperson, potential congressperson, operative, pundit - needs to never say anything remotely lefty for fear of weaponizing by your enemy. Seems a reasonable bar to meet.
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