Would it be the last one or the one that finishes #2?
I was going for first, second, turd. But yes, thatās works too.
Speaking of local elections, anybody else in California getting texts begging them to run for local office?
Time to saddle up for some door-to-door canvassing again. Here is the person for whom I will put boots on the ground:
Here is her opponent, a barely-disguised Christian nationalist:
Because of party affiliation this is pretty much a guaranteed win, but I am still very happy to spread the word when an extremist is trying to look like a not-extremist. Also I would like to help my kid to get an internship with Renee Perez once she wins.
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yeah this is important, there are tons of these shitbags running in other races, tyfys
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So in response to @clovis8 liking this post, Iād love to give an update.
As I stated, we went thru some shit where power players asked us to stop campaigning because they felt the only way to keep Carl DeMaio out of the assembly was to let another Republican run against him.
We reluctantly agreed, and the GOP-endorsed guy Andrew Hayes squeaked past us by 654 votes.
And now, this race has basically torn apart the San Diego County GOP. It caused a rift so bad that their chair and half their leadership resigned, the police unions launched an FPPC complaint against DeMaio (which is now an official investigation), the party first agreed not to support Hayes monetarily until recently when DeMaio broke a promise he made to try to keep the party together, they are now going full steam with support for Hayes, the DeMaio wing is causing trouble, etc. Also, this means theyāre spending less on the big county supervisor race.
I feel so vindicated and am now actively glad we played ball and let Hayes win. The chain of events since then has been absolutely delicious.
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Awesome. Let them fight!
I always let the dogs go a little further into the yard to pee when I see a Wong-Ahlers yard sign.
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Tomorrow no good for me, but I did sign up on her website to knock on doors. So thank you for the push.
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Go Sasha!
Some of the long term effects of her primary win (as well as Luis Zamora in SF) include turning over the leadership of CADEMās LGBTQ Caucus to two of my friends.
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Very cool, congrats to your friends! I chatted with Sasha on Saturday and sheās great, Iām going back on Saturday for more canvassing. We donāt just need to beat the lunatics, we need to beat them firmly and decisively.
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They texted me, Iām planning to go.
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They called me about this, but weāre leaving tomorrow AM for a wedding in Mexico so Iāll miss it.
Would have enjoyed eating a couple of tacos with you and the other volunteers. Guess we may still be doing that at the same time, just not togetherā¦
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My wife flaked and I got paired with a total rando, wish you had been there!
Talked to Sasha for quite a while, sheās pretty awesome.
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Now that itās GOTV weekend and weāre leaving it all on the field, Iām ready to make my predictions for my own races this cycle. In August at the filing deadline, I had signed contracts with four local candidates, all Democrats running in very red east San Diego County. Hereās my āstate of the raceā and predictions for each one.
TL;DR: I predict I will go 3 for 4 this cycle.
Ramona Municipal Water District Division 5, Ramona, CA
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Total voters: 6027
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Dems: 1350
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Reps: 3107
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Other: 1570
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State of the Race/Story: This is MY division. I was tipped off by the General Manager of the water district (whoās a dem) that the sitting board members wanted the incumbent gone, and were looking for a good candidate to run against him. So I needed to find a literal neighbor who would run for this seat. So I went to a our new Democratic Club meeting in June and met Princess Norman (yes, thatās her name), a former City of San Diego IT Project Manager who said sheād run. We geared up and got everything ready. Then the incumbent didnāt file his paperwork on time, and Princess was unopposed. In SD County, unopposed local candidates donāt go on the ballot, so this race was won before it even began. Princess will be sworn into the Ramona Water Board in December, and to top off this win, she will also become the Boardās representative to the greater San Diego County Water Authority.
Padre Dam Municipal Water District, Division 2, Santee, CA.
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Total Voters: 14,910
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Dems: 4662
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Reps: 6192
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Other: 4056
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State of the Race/Story: Dr. Suzanne Till is the Democratic incumbent for this seat. Sheās one of the few elected Democrats east of La Mesa, and the Republicans dumped a ton of money at their candidate to try to defeat her. Fortunately for us, establishment republicans in east San Diego County donāt know how to run modern campaigns, because they havenāt ever needed to. Our opponent has outspent us 4:1, but weāre not sure what heās getting for his money. He spent $11k on signs.
He bought walk literature, but they donāt actually knock on the doors, they just drop lit off at the door and move on. Meanwhile, Suzanne reused her signs from 2020, and our only significant expense was $7500 on a mailer. We have been knocking on doors since May, and managed to cover all but 9 of the 37 voting precincts in Suzanneās division. -
Prediction: Dem Win, and it wonāt be close.
Padre Dam MWD, Division 4: Alpine, Crest, and Harbison Canyon, CA
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Total Voters: 15,388
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Dems: 3393 (oof)
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Reps: 8291
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Other: 3704
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State of the Race/Story: This is a true rural district. As you can see from the numbers, we cannot win if we donāt persuade Republicans. Fortunately, thatās easy when itās a non-partisan race. Kim Hales is a biology professor and owns a small ranch in Alpine. Her opponent was appointed to the boardā¦and thatās why messaging for this race in this electorate was a breeze. As you can imagine, those 8k republicans are mostly ādrain the swampā types. Guess what triggers them? āKimās opponent was appointed to the board by the good olā boy network that has run east county politics for years.ā It also helps that the incumbent follows the ājust put up signsā theory of campaigning, and he has no money. He didnāt even put a candidate statement in the ballot information book. This race will be a true test of the power of effort. Weāve knocked on ~2k doors and sent a couple of texts. Heās done nothing.
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Prediction: Dem win, not particularly close.
Santee School Board: Santee, CA
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Total Voters: 41,359
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Dems: 12,917
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Reps: 17,262
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Other: 11,180
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State of the Race/Story: This one is a classic, and itās probably going to break my heart. On one side, a Moms for Liberty-endorsed candidate who organized a hate rally at the YMCA and wants to Christianize our schools. On the other, a scrappy retired teacher who jumped in at the last minute and is a true blue Democrat and was inspired to run because of the hate rally at the YMCA. Monique Silver (Dem) has the teachers and staff and admin and even the sitting board members on her side. Tracie Thill has the East County GOP and RWNJ machine on hers. Tracie relies on social media, big signs, and the GOP endorsement, and sends folks out to drop lit at doors. She herself knocks, but her āvolunteersā donāt. Our team has knocked 3500 doors since September 12th, sent texts and made calls, all on a shoestring budget. I have some indicators that late-deciders are breaking our way, but I just donāt know if it will be enough to overcome the derposphere messaging (oh no theyāre transing my kids at school!) that the SD GOP bombards them with. Tracie has also been running for a year, after losing in 2022.
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Prediction: Dem loss, but it will be closer than it āshouldā be. My one consolation is the rest of the board wonāt let Tracie get away with her bullshit agenda.
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I aināt reading all that but Iām happy for you or sorry that happened
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