Leaving on that midnight train for Georgia Runoff

https://twitter.com/RachelBitecofer/status/1326900994106601472

I know this is going to come as a shock, but Loeffler and Republicans are lying in their attacks on Warnock:

My source puts GA at about 30/70 right now. This gives hope for Dems. The fact that they trailed Biden by 100k is a bad sign though. The two races are gonna be pretty tightly correlated which isn’t surprising

Trump may well turn on both candidates before voting day.

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he lost, they are of no use to him

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https://twitter.com/arthurtarley/status/1327703618972217344

Looks like Ossoff is choking that puppy. GJGE eDems!

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Jon “puppy strangler” Ossoff

Untitled

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So we’re really rolling with puppy pics with the Senate on the line. Fantastic.

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tell me if this makes any sense

  • deplorables love to vote in person
  • democrats tend to vote more by mail
  • georgia allows vote by mail/absentee without requiring a specific reason (?)
  • run-offs have massively lower turnout

all of these are correct, yes?

my question is whether there is any data on if that massive drop-off in turnout is specific to in-person voting or if it extends to mail-in voting.

my guess is that we don’t have much data. Maybe some data from CO or WA or other states that have had “real” vote-by-mail for some time?

my hypothesis would be that there’s still a dropoff for vote by mail but it’s probably smaller than the in-person dropoff since it’s less friction than in-person. and with someone like stacy abrams driving the bus, the democrats could shrink the dropoff even further.

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I’m assuming they have more than dog pics. But hey, it worked for Biden! He had tons of dog content!

Going positive with puppies when they should go negative.

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They’re running other ads. The puppy stuff is one silly, fun thing.

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What the fuck? We’re still doing poll based Vince memes after that shitshow 2 weeks ago?

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The attack ads from the Republicans are insane right now. It’s basically all HE’S A RADICAL’S RADICAL (I didn’t make that up), HE HATES POLICE, IF HE WINS, YOUR FAMILY IS FUCKING DEAD. Of course, all the dramatic music and scary looking video effects.

I’m repurposing the meme as a vehicle for defeatist irony

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That’s the spirit

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The chance of winning 1 is pretty close to the chance of winning both. Insanely correlated.

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Look at it this way, it’s a free shot at something Democrats don’t have and they’re drawing pretty live