Leaving on that midnight train for Georgia Runoff

So anything D+4 or less is lock R?

https://twitter.com/natesilver538/status/1341394101401509890?s=21

Nate Silver’s whole thing is poll analysis and his response to polls is

¯\(ツ)

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I’m moving from general disdain to “median Trump cabinet stooge” level hate for Nate Silver and his stupid fucking haircut, his stupid fucking voice, his unreadable stupid fucking website and most importantly his stupid fucking obviously wrong models.

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I always assumed the haircut was a deliberate affectation.

survey usa pole warnock +5, ossoff +4

turnout has been crazy high so far - 1.8mm - basically on pace with the general so far on a day-for-day basis

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LOL, SurveyUSA has no fucks left to give

Georgia is a hot mess and no opinion pollster could possibly say what will happen when votes are counted in 2 weeks, 01/05/2021.

http://www.surveyusa.com/client/PollReport.aspx?g=bbb4e7fb-04c1-4b0f-b0b4-dbdb743cae4e&fbclid=IwAR0ig-4f3BXahcrFZDeZOsPn2nQDYbtali_8N5bJtFN8hwp5tRokT0Jxuss

so far slightly better turnout for the less bad team but who knows if that’s gonna hold on election day.

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Almost 1.9 million have voted in the runoff, only 6% below the general.

Mail-in is at 679,000, a 19% drop, BUT…that number has been steadily creeping closer to 0%. In-person early is 3% than in the general.

57,429 people have voted early in the runoff and did not vote in the general.

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https://twitter.com/conorsen/status/1341823535489167360?s=21

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Stop getting our hopes up Newt.

(Sorry, too soon?)

Dems lose by 2 points minimum, we all know it, come on.

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If you don’t read the AOC thread

https://twitter.com/AOC/status/1341869986944589825

This is so gross! They should be in jail. I hadn’t even thought of the credit report implications but it’s so lol obvious they should be halted.

There’s something enraging and unsurprising about the party of stupid old white people being better at using money on digital. Shout out to the D consultants making tens of millions to buy worthless TV ads.

https://twitter.com/wsj/status/1342327713898622976?s=21

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well, both parties are the party of stupid old white people

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https://twitter.com/ddale8/status/1342856784982269953

Georgia GOP, one trick pony of accusing their opponents of being under investigations that they either ask for or run themselves

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if only perdue was facing a federal investigation

could run ads on that

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These are just absolute train wrecks of candidates, cartoon villain plutocrat morons.

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I thought the Dems had to win both races for Mitch to lose his job but CNN said they only need to win one race because of Pence. What am I missing? I thought it was 48-50 right now. I thought winning both would make it 50-50 and Harris would be tie breaker in a Biden presidency. How is 51-49 good for Biden?

It’s not. If CNN said that, I think they’re wrong.

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