As a note on the above linked video…the screams you hear from us (the audience) were genuine shock, because they kept Levar’s appearance so locked down that no one knew he’d be there. We went nuts.
The more I think about it, the more I think LeVar Burton would make an excellent host. Assuming he’s pretty good at the general “hosting” part, I think having a person of color host such a significant show would be a good thing for broadcast television.
Second place tonight is a first ballot inductee into the Jeopardy dumbass HoF. Bets $2000 on a top row DD, and then fails to bet everything in a lock-tie situation and cost himself the win when he was the only one to get FJ.
I couldn’t believe that final jeopardy wager. Exactly half of first place and he doesn’t bet it all. Sure enough guy in first bets 1 dollar and misses it
Those make sense, but after thinking about it for only 5 seconds, I can see plausible arguments for the following:
-If 3rd is less than half of 2nd, then bet amount 2nd has minus $1
-If 3rd is more than half of 2nd then bet as much as you can but still cover against a 3rd place double up if you get it wrong
Those assume your opponent is bidding optimally as well. Thing is there is some chance dude with half your score is a moron and does not go all in like today.
But what chance of moron do we need to bet exploitatively? I’m mostly just curious because I’m pretty sure that the actual player pool gives us way over that percentage, however in the course of game play I suppose you could make inferences about your opponents betting tendencies (i.e. moron or not a moron).
The only bets you should consider (for pure winEV) are 0 and 1, there’s no case where a larger bet would win and a bet of 1 would lose, whereas the alternative is possible.
If p(WR) > p(RR) * p(tiebreaker lose) then bet 0, else bet 1
Yeah, I guess you’re right. I’m probably overthinking it.
However, if I ever find myself in the virtually impossible scenario being against James Holzhauer and have double his total going into FJ, I’m definitely betting his total minus 1 (assuming 3rd is out of the picture).
I was rooting for the woman who beat James to make a super exploitive $0 bet, knowing that he is a nerd who would almost certainly make the optimal bet vs the standard cover-2nd-shove leader bet, which would be insufficient to catch her if she stood pat.