jalfrezi's UK/Irish racing betting log

Today’s
Bangor 16:40 Sackfullofdreams 6.95 +5.95
Newcastle 19:15 Irish Minister 25.25 -1
Wolverhampton 18:35 My Town Chicago 4.50 -1
Curragh 19:20 Whatharm 12.00 -1
Sandown 14:10 Crime Of Passion 6.00 NR
Sandown 14:10 Queen Aya 5.00 -1
Thirsk 17:15 Dreamseller 12.00 -1
Bangor 13:50 Cotton End 5.00 -1
Down Royal 16:35 Theatre Of War 9.00 -1

-1.05 today

Typical. I forgot to post the picks today because of domestic stuff and had a couple of decent winners (and 8 losers):

+5 today

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Today’s
Worcester 14:10 Invincible Don 5.32
Worcester 16:10 Bally Longford 7.50
Today’s
Worcester 14:10 Invincible Don 5.32 +5.32
Worcester 16:10 Bally Longford 7.50 -1

+4.32 today

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Today’s
Brighton 14:30 Sorteo 6.95
Chepstow 14:15 Allez Sophia 3.42
Chepstow 14:15 Chasanda 11.00
Chepstow 14:15 Liscahann 11.00
Chepstow 14:45 Molaaheth 11.00
Chepstow 16:45 Bug Boy 5.32
Roscommon 19:50 Liars Corner 5.50
Windsor 17:30 Maxs Thunder 4.50
Windsor 18:30 Glory 14.00
Today’s
Brighton 14:30 Sorteo 6.95 NR
Chepstow 14:15 Allez Sophia 3.42 -1
Chepstow 14:15 Chasanda 11.00 -1
Chepstow 14:15 Liscahann 11.00 -1
Chepstow 14:45 Molaaheth 11.00 +12
Chepstow 16:45 Bug Boy 5.32 +4.32
Roscommon 19:50 Liars Corner 5.50 +4.5
Windsor 17:30 Maxs Thunder 4.50 -1
Windsor 18:30 Glory 14.00 -1

+15.82 today :grin:

2 Likes

+17.57 to date

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Stinking cold this morning and I forgot to post again.

-2 today

Today’s
Uttoxeter 13:50 Grand Coureur 9.68
Hamilton 16:25 Shortbackandsides 5.75
Chelmsford City 20:45 Thahab Ifraj 6.41
Gowran Park 16:05 Sonaiyla 10.00

-3 today (1 x NR).

The curious case of what happened to Thahab Ifraj pre-off gives a little insight into the sort of shenanigans that beset racing, particularly after the advent of Betfair which allows punters to lay horses.

Available at 6 early prices, he drifted to 11 for no apparent reason and finished last, no doubt pleasing “connections” greatly.

Sigh.

In general horse racing is in the doldrums financially and many owners/yards have trouble making ends meet because the costs are great compared to prize money. Have a look at the size of fields now in lower grade races compared with 20 years ago.

It would be tempting for an owner to recoup some of the costs by instructing a jockey not to try too hard while “connections” lay the horse at the exchanges.

A more recent finesse of this is the practice of “1st or 4th”, whereby an owner will back his horse to win (which is good because his interests align with the punters’) but also lays it in the place market at betfair (which isn’t good and is against racing laws), and the jockey is instructed to win if he can otherwise drop out of the places. You might have noticed in some races the strange effect of an occasional horse doing well until the final furlong then appearing to go almost into reverse.

I’ve spent a lot of time unsuccessfully trying to make a system based on this. It’s possible to see certain combinations of owner/trainer/jockey that have more than their fair share of horses that don’t finish 2nd or 3rd, but actually building a system and staking plan to exploit it is another matter.

1 Like
Today’s
Lingfield 16:45 Zoraya 3.60
Lingfield 17:20 Poets Dance 3.96
Lingfield 17:50 Chasanda 3.75
Lingfield 17:50 Microscopic 4.00
Lingfield 17:50 Dandizette 4.50
Salisbury 14:10 Thechildrenstrust 11.88
Sedgefield 15:00 Hepijeu 3.01
Today’s
Lingfield 16:45 Zoraya 3.60 -1
Lingfield 17:20 Poets Dance 3.96 +2.96
Lingfield 17:50 Chasanda 3.75 -1
Lingfield 17:50 Microscopic 4.00 -1
Lingfield 17:50 Dandizette 4.50 -1
Salisbury 14:10 Thechildrenstrust 11.88 +10.88
Sedgefield 15:00 Hepijeu 3.01 -1

+8.84 today

+21.41 to date

2 Likes
Today’s
Haydock 15:30 Airglow 11.00
Musselbrugh 16:25 Excessable 5.32
Kempton 20:10 Gold At Midnight 15.00

-3 today, with the 14/1 shot finishing second.

Today’s
Ascot 15:55 Persian Moon 11.88
Navan 14:20 Tai Sing Yeh 9.68
Navan 17:15 Mountain Fox 6.95
Navan 17:50 Golden Valour 9.00
Stratford 16:00 Play The Ace 7.50
Stratford 17:00 Salto Chisco 5.00
Stratford 17:40 Evas Diva 2.38
Thirsk 16:15 Irreverent 2.75
Wolverhampton 19:00 Kocasandra 10.00
Wolverhampton 20:30 Global Acclamation 7.00

-6.68 today (1 x NR).

Today’s
Brighton 16:50 Limerick Lord 9.68
Brighton 15:20 Royal Dancer 8.00
Listowel 17:25 Golden Valour 6.95

-3 today

Today’s
Kelso 17:00 Spinning Scooter 6.41
Kelso 19:10 Touchedbyanangel 13.00
Worcester 15:10 Excellent Team 9.68
Catterick 15:00 Remember Rocky 11.00
Worcester 16:45 Sillogue Pio 9.68