Iowa Caucus Predictions... SEASON Thread

oh we’re debating the merits of ‘claiming victory’ tonight.

God, give me cancer now

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Buttigieg went from low 20s to instantly in the 40s. It’s already back in the low 20s, so evidently just a few dumbasses heard victory and moved the market that much.

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https://twitter.com/thomaswright08/status/1224563221572608002

makes sense, they changed the rules and well with 1700+ people all of whom having to get it right. We got refs who know the rulebook in sports and still screw it up.

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Calling it, nothing else happening tonight. Trump probably gained about 2% equity tonight.

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Especially speaking last, the optics of declaring victory are very good for him. I kinda wish the lolz directed at him if he were wrong would be worse than declaring victory now, but they won’t be. We don’t live in that world. We live in the world where Trump is president.

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Yep. Waiting til last and declaring victory was the smart move. Surprised nobody else tried to wait him out and/or claim victory.

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Story of the night, no one knows fucking anything.

I think taking away the optics for whoever wins is more damaging than good

Well we just watched the high point of Pete’s political career. Falsely declaring victory in Iowa. What a shitshow of a night.

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Hard to fathom.

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SMART POLITICZ

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I highly doubt it.

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Cuse can verify, but I predicted Someone would win the first alignment/raw vote, and Someone else would get the most county-level delegates.

The campaigns have the numbers. We’ll see

They won’t have Iowa results before New Hampshire.

Yeah Pete can easily become a Republican senator or something

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they don’t if the entirety of ‘2nd alignment,’ wtf that is, wasn’t conducted properly.

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Yeah. Unless there’s a way to track how individual people voted in each round (is there?), then the second round results are fucked and will be impossible to determine.

How long do you think he is going to last in this race? He has already tried and failed to run for statewide office in Indiana.

Yep, verified. I wonder if the campaigns had stronger data on Bernie not being a popular second choice among the others than the public had.

Well they certainly have a paper trail. Still that would add to the length of time before we got results.

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