Iowa Caucus Predictions... SEASON Thread

It’s possible only the top 4 end up with any votes at all, Klob might not make it to viability at any location. She probably sneaks home in a couple though.

Believe for the Warren Sanders 1/2 finish, either order. End the moderates.

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Bernie
Biden
Warren
Klob
Uh…Pete

Pete drops out and runs in the gop primary for president.

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Bernie 18
Biden 12
Pete 6
Warren 4
Klob 1

Anyone have any good twitter or instagrams from Iowans participating?

Meb - will you be live-posting?

Exactly this

I’m already wrong.

If Bernie wins strong, hoping for some unprecedented levels of butthurt from the anti-Bernie crowd.

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If Bernie wins strong, this is inevitable.

I’m about 100x as excited for these caucuses as I was for the super bowl. LFGOOOOOOOOOOO!!!

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Time=Now

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https://mobile.twitter.com/BernieSanders/status/1223985287489040384

:children_crossing:

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https://mobile.twitter.com/AndrewYang/status/1223966352244903941

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A huge endorsement coming in at the last minute for Yang. Will it be enough??

https://twitter.com/kenbone18/status/1224121749421412357

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https://twitter.com/swalker06/status/1224030176591433733?s=20

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CNN later today

A4skg2X

I can’t sleep. Too nervous/anxious

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I think Bernie/Biden will be within 2 points of each other, not sure who wins. Warren finishes third. Klob fourth, Mayo Pete fifth and only a point or two ahead of Yang.

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Any idea when we’ll get the first data? I’m basically paralyzed with worry over the actions of a tiny % of the population of a podunk state that I almost certainly couldn’t point to on a blank map (it’s one of the square ones in the north right?) in a country that is 4000 miles away from me. #normal and healthy

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IDK about data as in results, but the first thing will be turnout. Higher turnout very likely means good things for Bernie.

I think we will start seeing stuff at around 8 PM (not necessarily results but pictures of people in gyms or whatever). That’s in US East Coast time, the only acceptable measure.

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Put on Morning Joe while I was getting ready for work this morning. Chris Matthews was going on a rant about how he’s been in politics a long time, and has seen people like Bernie. He says they’re usually at little card tables outside events trying to recruit anti-war college students to be socialists. This is right after another panelist pointed out “why hasn’t foreign policy come up during any of the debates?”

They are shook.