Individual Economics in the Age of COVID-19

Ugh, have reason to believe that I will be laid off in a couple months (company downsizing). I guess better to know in advance than be blindsided, but I really hate the job search/networking process. (Although once I get over the self-consciousness of trying to reconnect with people, I usually love the actually catch-up conversations).

Fortunate to have a very comfortable cushion. Some rules of thumb might even claim I could retire early, but that’s likely with a low margin for error and no way is my risk-averse brain there yet. Almost certainly at “CoastFI” though, which should reduce the stress level, but again, not how my brain works. I’m always thinking about worst case scenarios. Like if we’re at a market peak, etc. If we hadn’t just taken in a cat, I’d actually consider going abroad to some cheap countries for 6-12 months.

Anyway, just needed to “vent” as part of my coping, despite fully realizing I’m in a rather privileged position.

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It always blows my mind how bad companies are at laying off the wrong people.

Anyone gonna buy a CD or make any other changes prior to the rate drop?

I would assume they would already be priced in no? I know that mortgage rates have already come down in anticipation

Nah I’m too lazy

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Yeah all of that stuff is basically priced in by the market already so it’s unlikely that the announcement will have a huge immediate impact on rates.

Like right now the broader market is pricing in 100bps of cuts for the rest of 2024

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This one’s good for a few laughs

https://www.wsj.com/lifestyle/how-the-super-rich-signal-their-wealth-to-each-other-0ff713e7?mod=lead_feature_below_a_pos1

How the Super-Rich Signal Their Wealth to Each Other
Gauche display is out. The .1% use a subtler set of cues and signifiers to mark their place on the totem pole.

What are some of these “subtler cues,” you ask?

The most straightforward symbols start with watches. One Wall Street macher explained, “You see a gold Rolex Daytona, that’s one thing. You see a Patek Perpetual and you say to yourself, OK, this guy’s playing a different game .”

When you can wrangle people to your abode, serve a tub of Ossetra caviar with Lay’s potato chips. Place it out like guacamole on the coffee table.

To signal that your NetJetting days are over, you might drop into conversation with a sigh, “We’ve got to find a new pilot.”

Now this is way better than the average bogleheads hate read!

Had to google the caviar. It’s not as expensive as I thought would be.

Edit: Well I guess if the largest size is the “tub”, then that is in the ballpark of what I was thinking.

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Would be WSJ using that.

Finally solves our age old question, hopefully adjusting for locales.

America’s New Millionaire Class: Plumbers and HVAC Entrepreneurs

Free link:

https://www.wsj.com/business/entrepreneurship/plumbers-hvac-skilled-trades-millionaires-2b62bf6c?st=zVvLPw&reflink=desktopwebshare_permalink

Private equity truly sucks.

It’s a little surprising that it took them this long to set their sights on these businesses.

Trying to look for positives in light of the election results, and I think I’ve found one:

As a public school employee in Ohio, I do not currently pay into Social Security, nor am I earning credits towards Social Security. That’s kind of strange, and I’m not sure whether it’s a good/bad/neutral deal. But I am pretty sure that the incoming administration is hankering to cut Social Security benefits, and I wouldn’t be as harmed by that particular choice as I would be in a normal job. So, selfishly, I guess that’s a positive thing.

You’ll be interested to learn that on the other forum that apparently the GPO and WEP are super fringe laws that apply to like 4 people