Kissinger + Putin < those guys
Compelling.
Just math bro.
everyone always assumed taiwan would be next after hong kong. but on the other hand if they bite into russia, taiwan may become a true pipedream.
I assume thereās something like NATO for Taiwan? Basically a dead manās switch where the US has to go in if China invades? Anyone else? Canāt imagine Japan would be a good idea.
https://twitter.com/EuromaidanPress/status/1502878059548098562
Hereās some red meat for you Keeed. Everytime I read one of these Iām like what kind of sick regime tortures their enemies? Oh waitā¦
there isnt a nato for taiwan. like the budapest memorandum that stated Ukraine sovereignty is assurred by US and UK, Taiwan is at the mercy of its defense forces and whoever the US president at the time.
come to think of it, Xi might want to avoid putinās mistakes and wait until second trmp term to annex anything
Trump hates Gina. Probably because Putin knows the only winning strategy at Risk is to goad your enemies into attacking each other. (āYou gonna just put up with him encroaching on you like that?ā)
China needs to wait for our first pro-China traitorous president. Theyāre going to need to step up their propaganda game for that to happen. Tucker doesnāt come cheap. Well maybe he does. Kompromat with a 16-year-old might be all it takes.
1 Like
trmp is a huge coward, and heās also going to be taken by surprise because he cant even sit through a full briefing
Itās unwritten US policy to defend Taiwan. The WarBros seem to think that mostly involves the US Navy. The Navy keeps a lot of assets there for a region the US hasnāt fought a war in in 50 years.
No idea what the point of this post is. Do you think I would be surprised if Russia was torturing captured Ukrainian leaders?
No I am giving you some red meat just like I said. The US tortures people.
Itās the same with moralizing about leveling cities with bombing runs for strategic gain. We turn into the puppet meme guy.
Understanding that the US has no moral authority in matters of foreign relations doesnāt forgive or minimize the crimes of other countries.
1 Like
Iraq War 1 liberated Kuwait and was smart enough not to get into regime change quagmire in Iraq. The only real argument against it was that we tricked Saddam into thinking he could take Kuwait just so we could decimate him for doing so.
Well we did also leave the Kurds and the S. Iraq Shiites high and dry. And the Marsh Arabs and a ton more people got completely fucked. But the Kuwaitis made out ok.
So yeah - several arguments against.
The origins of the current conflict are not Feb 2014 and Mearsheimer just plain wrong argument that this was about NATO enlargement.
Ukraine 101 - NATO really did not figure in the Euromaydan as back then the vast majority of Ukrainians did not want it. Back then opinion polls showed single digit support for NATO membership as most Ukrainians knew it would piss Russia off. Two thirds were against. And back then Ukraine had non aligned status, had next to no real military capability and itās military doctrine was still Soviet - the Ukrainian military planned for any attack to come from the West, not from Russia! They were zero threat to Moscow and yet Russia annexed Crimea and invaded Donbas.
Euromaydan was not even about EU membership as a) the EU never gave Ukraine any real membership perspective, only a glorified trade deal, the AA/DCFTA; and b) the Ukrainians were not that stupid as to think they would.
Euromaydan, as with the Orange Revolution a decade before, was more about Ukrainiansā desire not to live in a autocracy/kleptocracy. And remember here Russia offered a competing vision of Ukrainian membership in its Eurasian Union. Ukrainians saw this as a choice between European values and Russian style kleptocracy. It was not a choice between two security blocks. Security status was not on the agenda at that point.
And maybe Mearsheimer should read Putinās own essay which he distributed to every member of the Russian armed forces over the summer. It spelled out what he wanted them to fight for - for the unity of the Russian and Ukrainian peoples, he even dissed the very right of Ukraine to exist. In fact this has all the makings of 1930s style fascism which Meiershmeier fails to even comprehend.
And what did we get from all this? Animosity, jealousy, and now war. We gave Russia an open hand and got slapped in the face. Worse for Ukrainians now who are being murdered because they aspire to live by our values and not Putinās.
Letās not try and find scapegoats at home but realise that all this is because of one plain evil man - Putin - which we have enabled for too long and failed to realise the true nature of the threat.
3 Likes
Watched video on the weekend from the boss of the German tank museum. The first few episodes he discussed the russian tanks and the tank development in general but the last episode he went on to talk about Clausewitz. He argued that people often talk about Clausewitz but have rarely read the book(its pretty tough read from what I read). The problem is that people probably know the phrase āWar is the continuation of policy with other means.ā but fail to realize that this is still true today. Putin went exactly that way. Once he realized he couldnt get it without war he went to war. The majority of western countries and few others just decided that they wouldnt pursue that optionanymore but that doesnt mean that others wont. So the problem is if Putin is successful that is a sign to others that this still works and you might get away with it.
He also mentioned the Indian solution. When the British Empire gave up on India and essentially two states emerged: India with the Hindu majority and Pakistan with the Muslim majority. Ofc it took some time to sort it all out and it didnt go always peacefully when people get displaced based on religion. He thinks that this option is still on the table for Ukraine where you basically divide the populations based on russian or ukrainian descent. Not sure how plausible esp if that would mean the Ukraine loses their resource-rich areas.
1 Like