COVID-19: Chapter 7 - Brags, Beats, and Variants

isn’t this the fourth or fifth thing to come out on this? Germ theory still holds!

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My arm is mildly sore. The people who gave my wife the shot said it’s better to move it a lot.

Did she already have COVID before?

My arm hurt a lot but it already went away. I feel very fatigued though.

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Building out schools and hiring more teachers across the country so that kids can sit six feet apart sure is expensive… I know, we’ll just change the science!

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Vermont released the rest of the age bands today. Hopefully I’ll actually be able to get an appointment not too soon after April 5.

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Michigan is starting to look like it’s headed for a new surge. 7DMA has increased from ~1,000 to ~2,500 in the last month. It’s unclear to me why; they’ve probably had better social distancing than most red states. Worth keeping an eye on.

wasn’t there something posted in the past few days about outbreaks in schools?

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Yeah, iirc it didn’t seem particularly rigorous though? Like “the outbreak has been disproportionate school aged children” or something.

Scheduled my first shot for Tuesday. Turns out I am eligible because of a heart condition.

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Congrats Vermont, you are behind Florida who just opened to 50+

Meanwhile

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Made it home just now. Feel good. Playing singles tennis tomorrow 48 hours post shot.

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No. I mean, neither of us have been tested, so we can’t be 100% sure, but it’s unlikely.

Her anxiety told her she might have caught the variant that’s been ripping through town right before getting the vaccine, but she happened to have an appointment yesterday morning with her endocrinologist, who told her that the symptoms are just the vaccine working. She’s feeling a bit better today, so hopefully we don’t have to worry much longer.

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This woman is ruining my good (uncommon) name.

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The way that quote is explained fully in the article is a lot better. Still objectionable in some ways, but nearly as much as I originally thought.

The full quote is here:

[Interviewer:] Some parents are still feeling that last little bit of nervousness, like, well, I’m going to be vaccinated, my parents are going to be vaccinated, but my kid isn’t vaccinated and I don’t know when they’re going to get vaccinated.

[Prof. Oster:]The big goal of vaccines is to reduce serious illness and death. That’s what we’re trying to produce with our vaccination. The vaccines we have take a huge risk of hospitalization and death for older adults and reduce it by 85, 95%. Just really big reductions in risk.

The thing is that your 9- or 10-year-old is already basically a vaccinated adult from that standpoint. I mean, it’s true. If you think about the reduction in hospitalization or death risk from being 10, rather than being 80, it’s 99.9%, 98%. It’s actually better than the Pfizer vaccine. I’m hoping that may be a helpful way for people to think about the relative risk for kids, because I think we’ve gotten to this space where it’s like, OK, well, until my kids are vaccinated, I can’t let them out. You’re letting the grandparents out. Let your kids out.

Which part of that did you find particularly moronic? When you add back the significant qualifier that you chose to omit from what you posted, the sentence the quotation is from seems to be correct.

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That’s true from a risk to that kid point of view, but letting the unvaccinated kids out is more dangerous to other people than letting the vaccinated grandparents out, right?

So, they may have been right up until the conclusion, but still, conclusion was wrong.