COVID-19: Chapter 6 - ThanksGRAVING

[anon38180840]

@Danspartan

My worry is that the mortality rate is going to go up due to

-overwhelmed healthcare system
-less sophisticated care in rural settings
-demographics as it goes into more olds
-possible increase in viral dosing due to more time indoors
-also possible testing doesn’t keep up and the cfr climbs some

If ifr stays down then 2,000/day max assuming behavior eventually responds even absent mandates.

I would be shocked if we keep it to 2,000/day. Given the situation and what’s in front of us, combined with people’s current attitudes toward the pandemic, I don’t see any cause for optimism.