As long as businesses keep offering me curbside, I am becoming more and more fine with everyone else rushing towards herd immunity.
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Melbourne Todayā¦ Police detain a man as protesters gather outside Parliament House. Anti-vaxxers and residents from Victoria broke social distancing rules to protest against the lockdown in Melbourne on Motherās Day
Whatās amazing to me about this is that a forum of a few hundred (mostly) ex-poker player schlubs knew this was a big deal and was going to cause massive devastation in fucking January. I mean, I did a big Costco run in late January because I knew, from this forum, that we were fucked. Iāve told the story that I asked my firmās owners how we were going to do WFH super early and they all thought I was fucking nuts.
Itās just unbelievable. Somebody from Unstuck really needs to infiltrate the Trump administration to give us the inside scoop on how truly fucked up it is. I mean, we know, but itād be insightful to have somebody on the inside to tell us exactly how many big macs Trump eats in a day, and how truly dysfunctional the whole administration is.
ETA: Iām also hoping that someday soon Unstuck is way ahead of the successful treatments for Covid and my family can protect ourselves early.
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Why isnāt this chart from the CDC being touted everywhere?
It seems hard to argue that regardless of cause, deaths in USA are significantly higher than expected. I know the fucktards can argue against it, but I canāt figure out how they can. You canāt use the ādeaths are being miscoded as covidā or whatever. Why isnāt this chart being blasted out everywhere on social media? The only issue I see is it lags by a few weeks because death certificates take awhile to get to the CDC.
Chart is from here:
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Being right doesnāt make it feel any better unfortunately. I hope it does make you feel better that you helped me take this seriously long before anyone else was. I didnāt have to panic shop for groceries or tp or not have months worth of prescriptions. I closed my business more than a week before the official ālockdownā here. You helped me and mine and I appreciate that. You may have also saved lives getting others to take it seriously. Hang in there. I struggle with the same things daily man.
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While I generally agree with your view Johnny I donāt think you are accounting for the costs of the closed economy. There are real costs, in quality of life and death, by having the economy closed. I donāt pretend to understand the balance of the two but I donāt think itās as clear as you are saying that staying closed will results in less death than opening. Especially in some parts of the world.
For example, the city my father lives in has a population of just over 100,000 people. As of today, there are two cases of covid. Itās pretty hard to argue it should remain fully shut down at this point.
I probably wouldnāt lock down there either, but the reason you try is to go for eradication.
While I agree with you that there needs to be a balance where I think this is shortsided is that eventually Covid will arrive in this town. With no significant testing or tracing procedure they will suffer as much as the rest of us will. Whether it happens in March 2020 or March 2021 is irrelevant. The failures here are the complete lack of any plan to resolve what happens when Covid does eventually end up on their doorstep.
Bottom line is without widespread testing/tracing we are all flying blind and hoping on luck to protect us rather than science. A town with 2 cases and a testing/tracing regimen absolutely could and should go back to normal life.
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Given how connected we are that seems impossible.
My government is doing a 4 stage plan, which seems reasonable. The timing of the stages will be data driven and based on extensive testing. It will also be regional. Unfortunately I live in the city hardest hit so our opening will be much slower based on the plan. My dads city will likely be far ahead of me.
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We have one of the highest testing rates in the world here and are ramping up a massive tracing program. We have also launched a contact tracing app open to all Albertans.
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I forgot you were in Canada. Then we agree they should not be shut down in any meaningful way.
Yup, slap a fucking red mask on your grill with MAGA on it, sell it for 10.99 on your shityy website and voila, we are up to 90% mask wearing.
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Btw guys itās looking like a Motherās Day miracle! We might be under 1k deaths today for the first time in over a month(Letās just ignore the fact Motherās Day has even more downward variance for obvious reasons than your typical Sunday.). Maybe Donald is right and this thing will just go away on itās own!
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What was Easter? I put exactly zero fucks into weekend counts. Zero. Fucks.
Thatās why Iāve gone to summing the last 7 days /7 and ignoring the rest. Wipes out most of the day of the week variance. We arenāt uber exponential anymore (net, there are of course exp outbreaks).
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Easter Sunday had 1727 deaths for the US according to worldometers. The last two Sundays were 1153 and 1156 respectively, so I would not rule out a number a little under 1k for today. Getting above 2k for multiple days next week seems pretty much a lock anyway.
If this were a class, many people donāt want to flunk it, but also donāt want to work hard enough to get an A, so a C+ effort is good enough for them.
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I did a Zoom call w/family and my brother made it sound like Colorado and Georgia are both āopening upā and heās upset that GAās governor is taking flack for it, but not COās. Is this at all true about both opening up to roughly the same degree? And if so, what the F is CO thinking?
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I think we are seeing a lot of monkey see monkey do. All these politicians are spineless.
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