No specific information about the latest Villages residents to contract the virus was provided by the Florida Department of Health. But the newest patients in Sumter County were identified as:
33-year-old female;
60-year-old male who traveled to Michigan recently but hadn’t been in contact with any other patients;
21-year-old female who hadn’t been in contact with any other patients;
My model sort of does this by using hospital beds per capita and population to project hospital overrun, some my date range will give you an idea. Idaho has been creeping onto the lists, but now it’s barging in and saying, “Hello, world!”
At this point it’s just like watching a car accident in slow motion. We know what’s coming. The question is now can the green states who just re-opened slam the brakes on in time once they see the smoke billowing from AZ/TX/FL/etc?
Oregon would be the prime example of doing it. Remember when I started these, they were in trouble, but they closed back down where needed, got a little into the red in Days to Overflow, but never really ended up in a dire situation. Now they’re doing ok. But the R0 is still ~1.2, that’s not going to cut it. Eventually they need to get it down.
I need to modify Cali tomorrow, their hospitalization rate seems much lower, so their testing rate is probably higher, thus their Days to Overflow is off because my range of hospitalization rates is based on the national averages. So their situation isn’t as bad as it appears.
Where are you getting this? I follow the daily positive percent numbers and the past 3 days have been 20.1% (all time high), 15% (drop but essentially flat from the week before), and then back up to 19% yesterday. SC numbers are trending up
Everything on this is correct but this is awful public communication particularly where the issue is that too many people think that wearing a mask is inconvenient. This graphic makes it look like wearing a mask is a huge nuisance.
Goldman’s analysts found that wearing face coverings has a significant impact on coronavirus outcomes, and they suggest that a federal mask mandate would “meaningfully” increase mask usage across the country, especially in states like Florida and Texas, where masks are not currently required. The researchers estimate that a national mandate would increase the portion of people who wearing masks by 15%, and cut the daily growth of new cases by between 0.6% and 1%.
Reducing the spread of the virus through mask-wearing, the analysts found, could be a substitute for strict lockdown measures that would otherwise shave 5%—or $1 trillion—off the U.S. GDP.
There’s little point wearing a covid catching mask if you’re going to pull it off by the mouth part and store it on the kitchen countertop, then give your nose a good pick afterwards.
Would be a short graphic if it just stated ‘put mask on, you’ll never catch it then’
