COVID-19 (2): Turns out it's going to be pretty bad actually

LolGenetics? or LOLmutations?

I mean maybe Trump was just guessing that New York’s CV came from Europe??

Thanks for the linkage, I’ll head over to the beef thread :)

Nah, that makes perfect sense. Tiny mistakes over a large population end up with a lot of mistakes compared to the actual number of cases if it’s something rare.

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You mean in the Santa Clara testing? I read that the test they used for that was 99.5% accurate IIRC, but there were concerns with the sample size that had established the testing proficiency.

The problems with the Santa Clara results go well beyond the accuracy of the test used.

Edit: Tested at 99.5%, and at least as good as 98.2%

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Thanks for the derail derail goofy.

Man, I just can’t see how these dates can kinda be true. Are they assuming that we’re all hardcore social distancing? Apparently people can be contagious for a week+ before feeling sick.

I think you should do a long Twitter thread on the UP account explaining why their model is so terrible. Your account is fine too.

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If anyone needs toilet paper, target has it in stock for shipping. Order quickly!:

https://www.target.com/p/scott-comfort-plus-toilet-paper-mega-rolls/-/A-54617519?preselect=79768115#lnk=sametab

Edit: nevermind, it went out of stock already. That was really quick.

How are the LIBERATE homies doing today? Needing to feel good and seeing pictures of these people suicide themselves for Daddy is about the closest it gets these days.

Don’t go back to work

It’s not worth dying.

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To add to this, you state ‘wife can get job back after’ and there may be a few vacancies (in the region) for obvious reasons (to not be too grim)

My mom too - although she never liked Trump anyway but I think voted for him because of the chopping up little babies thing.

She swears she’s not voting for him this time but I have my doubts. Rs can always hammer on abortion for a few months leading up to the election and get her back in the fold.

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No. Our boss was a statistical expert witness for the defense in lawsuits - mostly auto and tobacco.

I feel like the main impact temperature might have is on residual transfer outdoors.

If someone breaths on you that is infected and it is warm out, I suspect you are still getting sick.

If someone coughs on a railing outside the virus will expire more quickly in the heat.

Please note I am NOT a Mr. Science.

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No one really knows yet if it’s common to get C19 just from breathing in someone else’s breath droplets, although it sure does seem likely for that high of an R0.

The official line seems to still be that you get it primarily from touching surfaces.

https://twitter.com/BigMeanInternet/status/1251521471685500929?s=20

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We will see. I’m trying to take some weekend time off (when wife is not wfh) from obsessing too much.

I’m not sure what the official line is as I’ve read so many conflicting things, but I’m not buying at all that the primary vector is surface smears.

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This is likely the way 90% of people get infected. It’s like you’re telling me there’s a debate on whether earth is flat.

Maybe the masks are to stop people kissing / licking infected surfaces?

When you speak, you’re barfing out those infected throat cells (aka shredding) which seem small / light enough to be carried by air, whether wet droplets or not

imo

Either the choir singers all touched the same handrail or the choir singing had something to do with it

Besides, social distancing not relevant if it’s not touching stuff that’s key

That’s my speculation too. Would be nice if the kill is more from drying or from UV damage.

The problem with UV is that harms eyes. That’s why biological safety cabinet should not be in high traffic areas and the light should be off if someone is working in the area. (Obviously for biology we need to turn it off to work in it to protect our bacteria and yeast from IV damage). The purpose is so that when I’m done in with my project we can kill the surfaces so you can do a different project later.

Droplet transmission occurs when a person is in in close contact (within 1 m) with someone who has respiratory symptoms (e.g., coughing or sneezing) and is therefore at risk of having his/her mucosae (mouth and nose) or conjunctiva (eyes) exposed to potentially infective respiratory droplets. Transmission may also occur through fomites in the immediate environment around the infected person.8 Therefore, transmission of the COVID-19 virus can occur by direct contact with infected people and indirect contact with surfaces in the immediate environment or with objects used on the infected person (e.g., stethoscope or thermometer).

Airborne transmission is different from droplet transmission as it refers to the presence of microbes within droplet nuclei, which are generally considered to be particles <5μm in diameter, can remain in the air for long periods of time and be transmitted to others over distances greater than 1 m.

In the context of COVID-19, airborne transmission may be possible in specific circumstances and settings in which procedures or support treatments that generate aerosols are performed; i.e., endotracheal intubation, bronchoscopy, open suctioning, administration of nebulized treatment, manual ventilation before intubation, turning the patient to the prone position, disconnecting the patient from the ventilator, non-invasive positive-pressure ventilation, tracheostomy, and cardiopulmonary resuscitation.

Ok well this is what I was thinking about. Seems like if the droplets don’t remain in the air that long - it should be pretty easy to avoid getting it from someone’s breath outdoors (masks, not standing super close, etc.) .