Coronavirus (COVID-19)

I also like how they intermittently nod in agreement, you know they were told to do it. The surgeon general is the most enthusiastic.

It’s almost like they’re purposely trying to keep the numbers low. Almost. But they’d never do that, right @anon10396289?

correct

I stopped eating Nutella since it contrains palm oil. No deforestation for me. Sucks because I really liked it.

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Common sick folk still won’t get tested.

Jesus christ this administration is a total failure beyond fears. Testing progress means testing for all, testing like S. Korea, not this bullshit prioritizing. Where’s the mention of young people being able to easily pass it on to these older and vulnerable populations? How about shortages of PPE, ICU beds and ventilators? What are we doing on those fronts? I’ve got to go for like a 10 mile walk to COOL OUT after listening to this display of thorough and profound leadership failure.

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These idiots smiling and nodding in the background are going to give me a stroke.

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What really sucks in addition to the low number is that there are few people who realize how bad that is. My mom and brother were shocked and didn’t believe that South Korea is testing 10,000 ppl a day.

Woohoo Gen-X by 14 days. (1/14/65)

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I doubt anyone had to tell them. It’s instinctive for these people and/or it goes without saying that is what you have to do in this administration to stick around.

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40-60 tests per state per day? Is that real? WTF.

I think the Greatest Generation probably handled this shit show the best by dying ahead of time. I guess decisive actions like that is probably what made them so great.

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The Mrs has banned me from watching if she is in the house. Apparently I would lose my mind and be screaming at Orange and Race (Bannon). Barnwood Builders is hypnotic and soothing.

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Everything is historic and unprecedented with these guys.

Must be emergency worker or 65yrs+ with respiratory problems and 99.8+ fever to qualify… plenty of test kits lying round though

Admiral having to clarify that what he’s saying is “real, not fake or a fantasy” is some surreal shit.

I’m really starting to regret my decision not to arm myself after the last election. I seriously contemplated it and discussed it with the wife, but we ultimately decided we were being overly paranoid. I’m kind of wondering if the local gun stores are all sold out. I’ve heard suspiciously little reporting about the happenings at our gun stores in recent days.

I have a barrel for my AR in the cart but am wondering if it’ll ship if everything shuts down lol. I do have other hunting guns if necessary.

This is just a cult. There’s no other word for it.

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Like that graph of flu cases spiking shows at least a few thousand people showing up with COVID-19 disguised and reported as flu… If even half the people who get it show up (cause poor folks may use the ER as a general practitioner), you’re still looking at like 6K uncounted cases… and would likely double again by tomorrow.

That’s 12K cases…
3/20 24K
3/24 48K
3/28 96K
4/1 192K
4/5 384K
4/9 768K
4/13 1.536M
4/17 3.072 (This is around 30% of NYC’s population)

If a lockdown goes in today, you won’t see the impact on the curve for about two weeks, or 3/28. We’ll be well over 100K at that point, which means something like 15-20K people needing hospitalization, a big chunk of those needing respirators, and 1-4K dead, if we’re better at this than Italy.

That’s just in NYC, which has 3,000 ICU beds and they’re already at 80% capacity - so we have 600 left. Based on the above, and Italy having 9-11% need ICU beds, we’re looking at like 12K new cases in four days, which means 1,080 new needs for ICU beds, which puts us above 480 above capacity. Let’s say they can double capacity, though. That gets us for a little while but by 3/24 we’ll have another 24K people, 2160 need ICU beds, so we have 360 left if we managed to double them in a pinch - so maybe like 3/26 they get overrun and start turning people away. Even something done today would not flatten the curve by then.

At this point there are two possible outcomes:

  1. Our social distancing and minor lockdown steps (schools, sports events, etc) flattened the curve enough that we are going to be ok…

  2. We’re going the Italy route, if not worse, it’s too late to stop it, and the mortality rate in NYC is going to be 5% or higher because many will not get care.

Same true for all the first cities to be hit. May not be too late for others. We should have a national full lockdown today, but that’d be bad for the S&P 500, so on we go.

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